Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Deportivo Capiata vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Team pages: Deportivo Capiata · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Deportivo Capiata1.1

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.55

1X2

26% 27% 47%

Deportivo Capiata Draw 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Capiata 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLWLLL

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLDDWL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Capiata 1–1–1 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (3 last)

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1-1Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Capiata1-012 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1-0Deportivo Capiata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1432 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1494

	Deportivo Capiata	Draw	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Our model	26%	28%	46%
Market	26%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (rating 1432 vs 1494).
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Capiata	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.6	2.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.40

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:32 +6’	3.40	3.40	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 1–1–1 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Capiata
30/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	1-0 HT 0-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
23/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	25	15	5	5	51	30	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	25	14	6	5	35	26	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	25	12	6	7	39	30	42
5	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
6	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
7	Sol de America	25	8	13	4	30	24	37
8	Paraguari AC	25	10	5	10	34	33	35
9	Resistencia FC	25	8	8	9	27	30	32
10	Fernando de la Mora	25	8	7	10	28	35	31
11	Club Atlético Tembetary	25	8	6	11	34	39	30
12	Deportivo Capiata	25	6	9	10	30	36	27
13	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
14	3 de Noviembre	25	5	8	12	30	38	23
15	Encarnacion FC	25	6	4	15	25	34	22
16	Tacuary	25	3	12	10	26	39	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Capiata	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Encarnacion FC	1-3 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Santaní	0-1 L	2-4 L
Fernando de la Mora	0-1 L	1-1 D
3 de Noviembre	4-3 W	1-0 W
Paraguari AC	1-2 L	3-2 W
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Capiata

DLLLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-3	6	1	L
13/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
09/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
03/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	2	3	W
28/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	8	L
21/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
16/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
08/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
04/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
29/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	6	1	D

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

WDLWWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-4	3	1	L
16/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
11/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
30/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
24/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
14/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
08/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-4	9	6	L
01/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	11	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Capiata vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (47%). Probabilities: Deportivo Capiata 26%, draw 27%, 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 47%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Capiata vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Deportivo Capiata 1.1 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Capiata vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.