Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sol de America vs Encarnacion FC

Team pages: Sol de America · Encarnacion FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Sol de America1.62

Encarnacion FC0.98

1X2

51% 27% 22%

Sol de America Draw Encarnacion FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sol de America 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDDWDLWL

Encarnacion FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLWDLW

Head-to-head

Sol de America 2–1–0 Encarnacion FC (3 last)

Encarnacion FC2-3Sol de America
Sol de America3-1Encarnacion FC
Encarnacion FC0-0Sol de America

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sol de America 1566 · Encarnacion FC 1461

	Sol de America	Draw	Encarnacion FC
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	52%	27%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America (rating 1566 vs 1461).
H2H favours Sol de America: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sol de America	Encarnacion FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.40

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:24 +15’	1.75	3.40	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de America 2–1–0 Encarnacion FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	2-3 HT 0-1	Sol de America
04/10/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	3-1 HT 2-1	Encarnacion FC
28/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Sol de America

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	25	15	5	5	51	30	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	25	14	6	5	35	26	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	25	12	6	7	39	30	42
5	Independiente FBC	25	9	10	6	37	32	37
6	Sol de America	25	8	13	4	30	24	37
7	Paraguari AC	25	10	5	10	34	33	35
8	Carapegua	25	10	5	10	30	38	35
9	Resistencia FC	25	8	8	9	27	30	32
10	Fernando de la Mora	25	8	7	10	28	35	31
11	Club Atlético Tembetary	25	8	6	11	34	39	30
12	Deportivo Capiata	25	6	9	10	30	36	27
13	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
14	3 de Noviembre	25	5	8	12	30	38	23
15	Encarnacion FC	25	6	4	15	25	34	22
16	Tacuary	25	3	12	10	26	39	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sol de America	Encarnacion FC
Deportivo Santaní	0-3 L	0-1 L
Fernando de la Mora	3-2 W	0-0 D
Paraguari AC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Deportivo Capiata	4-1 W	3-1 W
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Tacuary	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sol de America (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sol de America

DDWDDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-3	4	6	L
13/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	7	7	W
08/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
04/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
30/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
21/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
15/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
02/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
25/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	4	D

Encarnacion FC

DLLLWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	3-1	1	1	W
15/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
09/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
05/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
31/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	14	4	L
23/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
14/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
02/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sol de America vs Encarnacion FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de America win (51%). Probabilities: Sol de America 51%, draw 27%, Encarnacion FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Sol de America vs Encarnacion FC?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Sol de America 1.62 · Encarnacion FC 0.98), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sol de America vs Encarnacion FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.