Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 09/09, 15:00
Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs Tacuary
Team pages: Encarnacion FC · Tacuary
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Encarnacion FC1.24
Tacuary0.93
1X2
Encarnacion FC
Draw
Tacuary
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Encarnacion FC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Tacuary
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Encarnacion FC
1–2–1
Tacuary
(4 last)
- Tacuary2-2Encarnacion FC
- Encarnacion FC3-1Tacuary
- Tacuary1-0Encarnacion FC
- Encarnacion FC0-0Tacuary
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Encarnacion FC 1470 · Tacuary 1480
| Encarnacion FC | Draw | Tacuary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Encarnacion FC | Tacuary | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Encarnacion FC 1–2–1 Tacuary
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Tacuary | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Encarnacion FC |
| 03/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Encarnacion FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Tacuary |
| 27/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Tacuary | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Encarnacion FC |
| 20/09/24 Paraguay Cup | Encarnacion FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tacuary |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportivo Santaní | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 39 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 22 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 34 |
| 6 | Resistencia FC | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 32 |
| 7 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | 29 |
| 8 | Independiente FBC | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
| 9 | Carapegua | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | 28 |
| 10 | Deportivo Capiata | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 27 |
| 11 | Paraguari AC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 25 |
| 13 | Guairena FC | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 24 |
| 14 | Tacuary | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 36 | 19 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 31 | 18 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 36 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Encarnacion FC | Tacuary |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguari AC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Santaní | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Fernando de la Mora | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| 3 de Noviembre | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| General Caballero JLM | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Guairena FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Encarnacion FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Encarnacion FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/07 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Tacuary
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/07 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 13/07 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs Tacuary?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Encarnacion FC win (43%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 43%, draw 30%, Tacuary 27%.
How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs Tacuary?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Encarnacion FC 1.24 · Tacuary 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs Tacuary?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.