Prediction: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Shenzhen 2028
Team pages: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai · Shenzhen 2028
- Shenzhen 20281-0Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Draw | Shenzhen 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (rating 1546 vs 1494).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Shenzhen 2028 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 1.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0–0–1 Shenzhen 2028
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 China Division 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 21 | 46 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 46 |
| 5 | Dalian Kewei | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 45 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 41 |
| 7 | Jiangxi Lushan | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 24 | 38 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 26 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 27 | 32 | 37 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Shenzhen 2028 |
|---|---|---|
| Jiangxi Lushan | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/10 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Shenzhen 2028
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/10 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Shenzhen 2028?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win (45%). Probabilities: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 45%, draw 30%, Shenzhen 2028 25%.
How many goals are expected in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Shenzhen 2028?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1.22 · Shenzhen 2028 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Shenzhen 2028?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.