Football · China Division 2 · 25/10, 10:00

Prediction: Hubei Istar vs Shanghai Segenda

Team pages: Hubei Istar · Shanghai Segenda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Hubei Istar1.34

Shanghai Segenda0.83

1X2

48% 30% 22%

Hubei Istar Draw Shanghai Segenda

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hubei Istar 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLDWDL

Shanghai Segenda 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLDLDDLD

Head-to-head

Hubei Istar 0–1–0 Shanghai Segenda (1 last)

Shanghai Segenda0-0Hubei Istar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hubei Istar 1472 · Shanghai Segenda 1450

	Hubei Istar	Draw	Shanghai Segenda
Our model	47%	31%	22%
Market	48%	29%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hubei Istar	Shanghai Segenda
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.3	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.10

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85
X	3.25 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	5.25 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
02:06 +15’	1.61	3.25	5.25
04:15 +8’	1.85▲	3.10▼	3.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hubei Istar 0–1–0 Shanghai Segenda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 China Division 2	Shanghai Segenda	0-0 HT 0-0	Hubei Istar

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hubei Istar	27	10	9	8	33	27	39
2	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	27	8	12	7	28	25	36
3	Guangdong Mingtu	27	7	14	6	27	23	35
4	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	27	6	15	6	18	21	33
5	Changchun Xidu	27	6	13	8	21	31	31
6	Guangzhou Dandelion	27	7	9	11	27	33	30
7	Wenzhou FC	27	5	11	11	18	32	26
8	Shanghai Segenda	27	2	12	13	25	45	18

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hubei Istar	Shanghai Segenda
Changchun Xidu	0-1 L	1-1 D
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	2-0 W	2-2 D
Guangdong Mingtu	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hubei Istar

DLLLWLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
11/10	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
06/10	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	2-0	2-0	0	6	W
19/09	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
12/09	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
23/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
16/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
08/08	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-1	2-3	3	4	L
05/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
01/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	0	D

Shanghai Segenda

DDLLDLDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/10	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-2	1-3	3	7	L
06/10	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
19/09	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
12/09	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
22/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
15/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
08/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
02/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
25/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	1-0	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hubei Istar vs Shanghai Segenda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hubei Istar win (48%). Probabilities: Hubei Istar 48%, draw 30%, Shanghai Segenda 22%.

How many goals are expected in Hubei Istar vs Shanghai Segenda?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Hubei Istar 1.34 · Shanghai Segenda 0.83), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hubei Istar vs Shanghai Segenda?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.