Football · China Division 2 · 24/10, 13:30

Prediction: Wenzhou FC vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Team pages: Wenzhou FC · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.9Total

Wenzhou FC0.89

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1.01

1X2

31% 33% 37%

Wenzhou FC Draw Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Wenzhou FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDWWLDLL

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWWLLD

Head-to-head

Wenzhou FC 1–2–2 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (5 last)

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2-0Wenzhou FC
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-0Wenzhou FC
Wenzhou FC0-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Wenzhou FC2-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-1Wenzhou FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wenzhou FC 1471 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1504

	Wenzhou FC	Draw	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Our model	30%	34%	36%
Market	31%	31%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wenzhou FC	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.4	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.88

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:40 +31’	2.88	2.88	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wenzhou FC 1–2–2 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/09/26 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	2-0 HT 0-0	Wenzhou FC
05/10/25 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	1-0 HT 1-0	Wenzhou FC
31/08/25 China Division 2	Wenzhou FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28/09/24 China Division 2	Wenzhou FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
25/08/24 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	1-1 HT 0-0	Wenzhou FC

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hubei Istar	27	10	9	8	33	27	39
2	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	27	8	12	7	28	25	36
3	Guangdong Mingtu	27	7	14	6	27	23	35
4	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	27	6	15	6	18	21	33
5	Changchun Xidu	27	6	13	8	21	31	31
6	Guangzhou Dandelion	27	7	9	11	27	33	30
7	Wenzhou FC	27	5	11	11	18	32	26
8	Shanghai Segenda	27	2	12	13	25	45	18

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wenzhou FC

DLDDWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-4	3	2	L
12/10	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	1-2	1	6	L
06/10	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
18/09	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
13/09	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
23/08	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
16/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
05/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-1	0-2	0	7	L
01/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

DWDWDWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
11/10	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
06/10	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	0-2	10	6	L
18/09	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
13/09	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
22/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
15/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	2-0	2-2	1	4	D
05/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
01/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wenzhou FC vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win (37%). Probabilities: Wenzhou FC 31%, draw 33%, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 37%.

How many goals are expected in Wenzhou FC vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model expects 1.9 goals (Wenzhou FC 0.89 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wenzhou FC vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.