Football · China Division 2 · 25/10, 12:30

Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Team pages: Nantong Haimen Codion · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Nantong Haimen Codion1.24

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1.13

1X2

37% 31% 32%

Nantong Haimen Codion Draw Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Haimen Codion 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDDDWWDW

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDLWDW

Head-to-head

Nantong Haimen Codion 1–0 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves (1 last)

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0-2Nantong Haimen Codion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Haimen Codion 1573 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1521

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Our model	37%	30%	32%
Market	37%	31%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Haimen Codion (rating 1573 vs 1521).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	2.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.90

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:21 +2’	2.40	2.90	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Haimen Codion 1–0–0 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/09/26 China Division 2	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	0-2 HT 0-1	Nantong Haimen Codion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	27	8	13	6	34	26	37
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	27	9	10	8	29	26	37
3	Xiamen Feilu	27	9	9	9	35	31	36
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	27	7	10	10	23	39	31
5	Qingdao Red Lions	27	6	11	10	25	28	29
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	27	6	9	12	25	29	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	27	5	10	12	22	32	25
8	Beijing Institute	27	5	9	13	26	47	24

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Haimen Codion	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Ganzhou Ruishi	1-1 D	4-0 W
Xiamen Feilu	2-0 W	2-1 W
Qingdao Red Lions	1-1 D	2-0 W
Tai'an Tiankuang	2-1 W	2-0 W
Beijing Institute	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantong Haimen Codion

WWWDDDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	3-1	3-1	1	6	W
11/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
07/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
18/09	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
12/09	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-2	7	3	D
19/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
02/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
29/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	2-1	10	4	W

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
11/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
06/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
18/09	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
12/09	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
23/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	4-0	2	5	W
16/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
08/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	4-1	8	3	W
29/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-1	2-1	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (37%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 37%, draw 31%, Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 32%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 1.24 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1.13), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.