Football · China Division 2 · 17/10, 13:30
Prediction: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shandong Taishan Reserves
Team pages: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue · Shandong Taishan Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0.88
Shandong Taishan Reserves1.45
1X2
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Draw
Shandong Taishan Reserves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Shandong Taishan Reserves
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
1–2–2
Shandong Taishan Reserves
(5 last)
- Shandong Taishan Reserves0-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
- Shandong Taishan Reserves3-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0-1Shandong Taishan Reserves
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2-0Shandong Taishan Reserves
- Shandong Taishan Reserves0-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1530 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1519
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | Draw | Shandong Taishan Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 29% | 49% |
| Market | 22% | 28% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan Reserves: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | Shandong Taishan Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1–2–2 Shandong Taishan Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
| 12/07/25 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
| 07/05/25 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
| 23/06/24 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
| 11/04/24 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 21 | 46 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 46 |
| 5 | Dalian Kewei | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 45 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 41 |
| 7 | Jiangxi Lushan | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 24 | 38 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 26 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 27 | 32 | 37 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Dalian Kewei | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 06/10 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Shandong Taishan Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shandong Taishan Reserves win (50%). Probabilities: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 22%, draw 28%, Shandong Taishan Reserves 50%.
How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.88 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.45), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.