Prediction: Dalian Kewei vs Jiangxi Lushan
Team pages: Dalian Kewei · Jiangxi Lushan
- Jiangxi Lushan0-1Dalian Kewei
| Dalian Kewei | Draw | Jiangxi Lushan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 26% | 11% |
| Market | 64% | 24% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian Kewei (rating 1538 vs 1487).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian Kewei | Jiangxi Lushan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Kewei 1–0–0 Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/26 China Division 2 | Jiangxi Lushan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dalian Kewei |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 50 |
| 3 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 20 | 50 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 49 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 23 | 49 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 42 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 30 | 34 | 41 |
| 8 | Jiangxi Lushan | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 26 | 39 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian Kewei
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/10 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 07/10 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/10 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalian Kewei vs Jiangxi Lushan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Kewei win (64%). Probabilities: Dalian Kewei 64%, draw 25%, Jiangxi Lushan 11%.
How many goals are expected in Dalian Kewei vs Jiangxi Lushan?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Dalian Kewei 1.62 · Jiangxi Lushan 0.53), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dalian Kewei vs Jiangxi Lushan?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.