Football · China Division 2 · 07/11, 07:30

Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Team pages: Nantong Haimen Codion · Ganzhou Ruishi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Nantong Haimen Codion2.04

Ganzhou Ruishi1

1X2

60% 23% 17%

Nantong Haimen Codion Draw Ganzhou Ruishi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Haimen Codion 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWDWWW

Ganzhou Ruishi 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWLDDL

Head-to-head

Nantong Haimen Codion 3–3–0 Ganzhou Ruishi (6 last)

Ganzhou Ruishi1-1Nantong Haimen Codion
Ganzhou Ruishi2-4Nantong Haimen Codion
Nantong Haimen Codion4-1Ganzhou Ruishi
Nantong Haimen Codion1-1Ganzhou Ruishi
Ganzhou Ruishi1-3Nantong Haimen Codion
Nantong Haimen Codion2-2Ganzhou Ruishi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Haimen Codion 1586 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1435

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Draw	Ganzhou Ruishi
Our model	60%	23%	17%
Market	60%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Haimen Codion (rating 1586 vs 1435).
H2H favours Nantong Haimen Codion: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Ganzhou Ruishi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.1	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.80

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:05 +4’	1.50	3.80	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Haimen Codion 3–3–0 Ganzhou Ruishi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/26 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	1-1 HT 0-1	Nantong Haimen Codion
14/10/23 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	2-4	Nantong Haimen Codion
03/09/23 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	4-1 HT 1-1	Ganzhou Ruishi
31/10/22 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	1-1	Ganzhou Ruishi
09/08/22 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	1-3 HT 1-2	Nantong Haimen Codion
16/07/22 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	2-2 HT 1-1	Ganzhou Ruishi

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	29	10	13	6	38	26	43
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	28	10	10	8	32	27	40
3	Xiamen Feilu	29	9	10	10	37	34	37
4	Qingdao Red Lions	29	8	11	10	27	28	35
5	Ganzhou Ruishi	28	7	10	11	23	40	31
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	29	6	9	14	25	33	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	29	5	11	13	24	36	26
8	Beijing Institute	29	5	11	13	29	50	26

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Haimen Codion	Ganzhou Ruishi
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	3-0 W	0-4 L
Qingdao Red Lions	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nantong Haimen Codion (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantong Haimen Codion

WDDDWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
18/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	3-1	3-1	1	6	W
11/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
07/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
18/09	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
12/09	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-2	7	3	D
19/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	4	W

Ganzhou Ruishi

DLLLLWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
17/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
11/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
07/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
19/09	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
12/09	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
23/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-2	0-4	2	5	L
16/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
08/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-2	0-6	4	2	L
01/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (60%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 60%, draw 23%, Ganzhou Ruishi 17%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 2.04 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.