Football · China Division 2 · 08/11, 07:30

Prediction: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Dalian Kewei

Team pages: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue · Dalian Kewei

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0.81

Dalian Kewei1.63

1X2

18% 25% 56%

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue Draw Dalian Kewei

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLDDDWD

Dalian Kewei 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWDWDW

Head-to-head

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0–1–0 Dalian Kewei (1 last)

Dalian Kewei2-2Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1533 · Dalian Kewei 1543

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Draw	Dalian Kewei
Our model	17%	27%	56%
Market	19%	24%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Dalian Kewei
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.3	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.75

X3.75

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:35 +7’	4.75	3.75	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0–1–0 Dalian Kewei

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/10/26 China Division 2	Dalian Kewei	2-2 HT 0-1	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	29	15	8	6	42	27	53
2	Dalian Kewei	29	13	13	3	31	19	52
3	Shanghai Port Reserves	29	15	6	8	44	25	51
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	29	15	6	8	34	21	51
5	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	29	15	5	9	37	23	50
6	Shenzhen 2028	29	11	9	9	42	34	42
7	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	29	9	15	5	31	35	42
8	Jiangxi Lushan	29	11	6	12	30	28	39

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

WWWDLDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
23/10	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-1	3-2	2	2	W
17/10	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
12/10	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	2-2	3	8	D
06/10	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
19/09	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
13/09	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
16/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
11/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	2-0	4-3	2	7	W

Dalian Kewei

DWLWDWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
25/10	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
17/10	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
12/10	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	8	D
07/10	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
19/09	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
12/09	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
22/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
15/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-2	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Dalian Kewei?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dalian Kewei win (56%). Probabilities: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 18%, draw 25%, Dalian Kewei 56%.

How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Dalian Kewei?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.81 · Dalian Kewei 1.63), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Dalian Kewei?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.