Football · China Division 2 · 08/11, 07:30

Prediction: Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanghai Port Reserves

Team pages: Shenzhen 2028 · Shanghai Port Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Shenzhen 20281.02

Shanghai Port Reserves1.36

1X2

27% 29% 44%

Shenzhen 2028 Draw Shanghai Port Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Shenzhen 2028 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLLLDL

Shanghai Port Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWDLD

Head-to-head

Shenzhen 2028 0–1 Shanghai Port Reserves (1 last)

Shanghai Port Reserves2-1Shenzhen 2028

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shenzhen 2028 1464 · Shanghai Port Reserves 1499

	Shenzhen 2028	Draw	Shanghai Port Reserves
Our model	27%	30%	43%
Market	27%	29%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shenzhen 2028	Shanghai Port Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.1	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.10

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.25 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	2.00 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:31 +11’	3.30	3.25	2.00
09:44 +30’	3.30	3.10▼	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen 2028 0–0–1 Shanghai Port Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/26 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	2-1 HT 1-1	Shenzhen 2028

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	29	15	8	6	42	27	53
2	Dalian Kewei	29	13	13	3	31	19	52
3	Shanghai Port Reserves	29	15	6	8	44	25	51
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	29	15	6	8	34	21	51
5	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	29	15	5	9	37	23	50
6	Shenzhen 2028	29	11	9	9	42	34	42
7	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	29	9	15	5	31	35	42
8	Jiangxi Lushan	29	11	6	12	30	28	39

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shenzhen 2028

WDLWDLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-3	3	2	L
25/10	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
17/10	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
11/10	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
06/10	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-2	0-2	6	4	L
19/09	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
13/09	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
23/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
16/08	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	6-0	2	2	W

Shanghai Port Reserves

LLWWWLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
23/10	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-0	2-3	4	2	L
17/10	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/10	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
06/10	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
19/09	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
12/09	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
22/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
15/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
08/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-3	1-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shanghai Port Reserves win (44%). Probabilities: Shenzhen 2028 27%, draw 29%, Shanghai Port Reserves 44%.

How many goals are expected in Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Shenzhen 2028 1.02 · Shanghai Port Reserves 1.36), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.