Football · China Division 2 · 07/11, 07:30

Prediction: Qingdao Red Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Team pages: Qingdao Red Lions · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Qingdao Red Lions1.1

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves1.05

1X2

36% 32% 33%

Qingdao Red Lions Draw Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao Red Lions 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLDLWW

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDDLDLLD

Head-to-head

Qingdao Red Lions 0–1–0 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves (1 last)

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves1-1Qingdao Red Lions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Red Lions 1492 · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1456

	Qingdao Red Lions	Draw	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Our model	35%	32%	33%
Market	36%	31%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Qingdao Red Lions	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.90

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +4’	2.50	2.90	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Red Lions 0–1–0 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/10/26 China Division 2	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-1 HT 1-0	Qingdao Red Lions

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	29	10	13	6	38	26	43
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	28	10	10	8	32	27	40
3	Xiamen Feilu	29	9	10	10	37	34	37
4	Qingdao Red Lions	29	8	11	10	27	28	35
5	Ganzhou Ruishi	28	7	10	11	23	40	31
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	29	6	9	14	25	33	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	29	5	11	13	24	36	26
8	Beijing Institute	29	5	11	13	29	50	26

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Red Lions

WDLWLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	0	7	W
24/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
18/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
13/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
06/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
19/09	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
13/09	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
22/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
15/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	2	W

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

WDLDDLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
24/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	1-3	1	2	L
18/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	1-3	1-3	7	6	L
13/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
19/09	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
12/09	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
23/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
16/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-0	3-2	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Red Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Qingdao Red Lions win (36%). Probabilities: Qingdao Red Lions 36%, draw 32%, Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 33%.

How many goals are expected in Qingdao Red Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Qingdao Red Lions 1.1 · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Red Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.