Prediction: Shanghai Segenda vs Guangdong Mingtu
Team pages: Shanghai Segenda · Guangdong Mingtu
- Guangdong Mingtu1-0Shanghai Segenda
- Shanghai Segenda1-0Guangdong Mingtu
| Shanghai Segenda | Draw | Guangdong Mingtu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 35% | 37% |
| Market | 30% | 31% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong Mingtu (rating 1444 vs 1531).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Segenda | Guangdong Mingtu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Segenda 1–0–1 Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 China Division 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shanghai Segenda |
| 19/04/26 China FA Cup | Shanghai Segenda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guangdong Mingtu |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hubei Istar | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 39 |
| 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 26 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 32 |
| 5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 29 |
| 6 | Changchun Xidu | 26 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 28 |
| 7 | Wenzhou FC | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | Shanghai Segenda | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 44 | 17 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Segenda | Guangdong Mingtu |
|---|---|---|
| Wenzhou FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Hubei Istar | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Changchun Xidu | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Guangdong Mingtu (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Segenda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/10 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/10 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/09 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 27/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Segenda vs Guangdong Mingtu?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong Mingtu win (38%). Probabilities: Shanghai Segenda 29%, draw 33%, Guangdong Mingtu 38%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Segenda vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The model expects 1.86 goals (Shanghai Segenda 0.84 · Guangdong Mingtu 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Segenda vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.