Football · China Division 2 · 31/10, 07:30
Prediction: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Hubei Istar
Team pages: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic · Hubei Istar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.86Total
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1.1
Hubei Istar0.76
1X2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Draw
Hubei Istar
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Hubei Istar
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
3–2
Hubei Istar
(5 last)
- Hubei Istar2-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
- Hubei Istar2-3Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2-0Hubei Istar
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-0Hubei Istar
- Hubei Istar1-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1504 · Hubei Istar 1470
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | Draw | Hubei Istar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 34% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | Hubei Istar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 3–0–2 Hubei Istar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/26 China Division 2 | Hubei Istar | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic |
| 21/06/25 China Division 2 | Hubei Istar | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic |
| 09/04/25 China Division 2 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hubei Istar |
| 13/07/24 China Division 2 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hubei Istar |
| 05/05/24 China Division 2 | Hubei Istar | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hubei Istar | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 40 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 39 |
| 3 | Guangdong Mingtu | 28 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 28 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 34 |
| 5 | Changchun Xidu | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
| 6 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 30 |
| 7 | Wenzhou FC | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 27 |
| 8 | Shanghai Segenda | 28 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 46 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/10 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Hubei Istar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/10 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 06/10 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/08 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Hubei Istar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win (44%). Probabilities: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 44%, draw 31%, Hubei Istar 25%.
How many goals are expected in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Hubei Istar?
The model expects 1.86 goals (Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1.1 · Hubei Istar 0.76), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Hubei Istar?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.