Football · China Division 2 · 07/11, 07:30

Prediction: Shanghai Segenda vs Guangzhou Dandelion

Team pages: Shanghai Segenda · Guangzhou Dandelion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Shanghai Segenda0.9

Guangzhou Dandelion1.13

1X2

28% 31% 40%

Shanghai Segenda Draw Guangzhou Dandelion

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Shanghai Segenda 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDDLDDW

Guangzhou Dandelion 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDWDLD

Head-to-head

Shanghai Segenda 0–1 Guangzhou Dandelion (1 last)

Guangzhou Dandelion3-1Shanghai Segenda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Segenda 1471 · Guangzhou Dandelion 1488

	Shanghai Segenda	Draw	Guangzhou Dandelion
Our model	28%	33%	39%
Market	29%	30%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shanghai Segenda	Guangzhou Dandelion
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	2.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
01:50 +19’	3.10	3.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Segenda 0–0–1 Guangzhou Dandelion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/10/26 China Division 2	Guangzhou Dandelion	3-1 HT 2-1	Shanghai Segenda

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hubei Istar	29	10	10	9	35	31	40
2	Guangdong Mingtu	29	8	15	6	29	24	39
3	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	29	9	12	8	31	28	39
4	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	29	7	16	6	21	22	37
5	Changchun Xidu	29	6	15	8	21	31	33
6	Guangzhou Dandelion	29	7	10	12	28	35	31
7	Wenzhou FC	29	5	12	12	18	33	27
8	Shanghai Segenda	29	3	13	13	27	46	22

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shanghai Segenda

LLDLDDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
25/10	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
17/10	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/10	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-2	1-3	3	7	L
06/10	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
19/09	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
12/09	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
22/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
15/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
08/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	1-2	5	4	L

Guangzhou Dandelion

DWDLLDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
24/10	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
17/10	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
12/10	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
06/10	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
13/09	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
23/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
16/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	3-1	4	0	W
08/08	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanghai Segenda vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangzhou Dandelion win (40%). Probabilities: Shanghai Segenda 28%, draw 31%, Guangzhou Dandelion 40%.

How many goals are expected in Shanghai Segenda vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Shanghai Segenda 0.9 · Guangzhou Dandelion 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Shanghai Segenda vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.