Football · China Division 2 · 07/11, 07:30

Prediction: Hubei Istar vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Team pages: Hubei Istar · Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Hubei Istar1.16

Dalian Young Boy Reserves1.13

1X2

35% 30% 34%

Hubei Istar Draw Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Hubei Istar 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWDLDL

Dalian Young Boy Reserves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWDDWWL

Head-to-head

Hubei Istar 0–1–0 Dalian Young Boy Reserves (1 last)

Dalian Young Boy Reserves1-1Hubei Istar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hubei Istar 1470 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1516

	Hubei Istar	Draw	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian Young Boy Reserves (rating 1470 vs 1516).
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hubei Istar	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.5	3.6 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:07 +3’	2.50	3.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hubei Istar 0–1–0 Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/26 China Division 2	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Hubei Istar

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hubei Istar	29	10	10	9	35	31	40
2	Guangdong Mingtu	29	8	15	6	29	24	39
3	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	29	9	12	8	31	28	39
4	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	29	7	16	6	21	22	37
5	Changchun Xidu	29	6	15	8	21	31	33
6	Guangzhou Dandelion	29	7	10	12	28	35	31
7	Wenzhou FC	29	5	12	12	18	33	27
8	Shanghai Segenda	29	3	13	13	27	46	22

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hubei Istar

LLWLDWDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	1-3	1-3	4	1	L
25/10	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
18/10	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
11/10	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
06/10	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	2-0	2-0	0	6	W
19/09	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
12/09	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
23/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
16/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
08/08	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-1	2-3	3	4	L

Dalian Young Boy Reserves

DWLLWDDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	1-2	8	3	L
24/10	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
18/10	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	4-0	11	2	W
11/10	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
06/10	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
19/09	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/09	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
22/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	3-4	9	4	L
15/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hubei Istar vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hubei Istar win (35%). Probabilities: Hubei Istar 35%, draw 30%, Dalian Young Boy Reserves 34%.

How many goals are expected in Hubei Istar vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Hubei Istar 1.16 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1.13), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Hubei Istar vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.