Football · China Division 2 · 07/10, 10:00

Prediction: Tai'an Tiankuang vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Team pages: Tai'an Tiankuang · Ganzhou Ruishi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Tai'an Tiankuang1.9

Ganzhou Ruishi0.81

1X2

62% 24% 14%

Tai'an Tiankuang Draw Ganzhou Ruishi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Tai'an Tiankuang 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDLDDD

Ganzhou Ruishi 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDDLDLLLLW

Head-to-head

Tai'an Tiankuang 3–1–2 Ganzhou Ruishi (6 last)

Ganzhou Ruishi1-2Tai'an Tiankuang
Tai'an Tiankuang0-0Ganzhou Ruishi
Ganzhou Ruishi3-1Tai'an Tiankuang
Tai'an Tiankuang1-3Ganzhou Ruishi
Tai'an Tiankuang6-0Ganzhou Ruishi
Ganzhou Ruishi2-4Tai'an Tiankuang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tai'an Tiankuang 1499 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1430

	Tai'an Tiankuang	Draw	Ganzhou Ruishi
Our model	62%	24%	14%
Market	62%	25%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tai'an Tiankuang (rating 1499 vs 1430).
H2H favours Tai'an Tiankuang: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tai'an Tiankuang	Ganzhou Ruishi
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	0.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.5	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X3.60

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:37 +32’	1.45	3.60	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tai'an Tiankuang 3–1–2 Ganzhou Ruishi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/10/25 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	1-2 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang
21/09/25 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	0-0 HT 0-0	Ganzhou Ruishi
05/10/24 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	3-1 HT 2-0	Tai'an Tiankuang
31/08/24 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	1-3 HT 0-1	Ganzhou Ruishi
21/10/23 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	6-0	Ganzhou Ruishi
09/09/23 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	2-4 HT 0-3	Tai'an Tiankuang

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tai'an Tiankuang	24	8	9	7	26	24	33
2	Xiamen Feilu	24	8	8	8	32	29	32
3	Nantong Haimen Codion	24	6	12	6	28	24	30
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	24	7	8	9	21	34	29
5	Qingdao Red Lions	24	6	10	8	24	22	28
6	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	24	5	9	10	20	26	24
7	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	24	4	8	12	20	28	20
8	Beijing Institute	24	4	7	13	22	45	19

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tai'an Tiankuang	Ganzhou Ruishi
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-1 D	1-1 D
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	0-0 D	0-4 L
Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tai'an Tiankuang (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tai'an Tiankuang

LWWDLDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/09	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
22/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
15/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
08/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
02/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
29/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-1	3-2	7	1	W
19/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
05/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	7	L

Ganzhou Ruishi

DDDLDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
12/09	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
23/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-2	0-4	2	5	L
16/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
08/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-2	0-6	4	2	L
01/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
25/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
18/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
04/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	4-4	2	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tai'an Tiankuang win (62%). Probabilities: Tai'an Tiankuang 62%, draw 24%, Ganzhou Ruishi 14%.

How many goals are expected in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Tai'an Tiankuang 1.9 · Ganzhou Ruishi 0.81), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.