Prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions
Team pages: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves · Qingdao Red Lions
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | Draw | Qingdao Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 35% | 31% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | Qingdao Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 34 |
| 3 | Xiamen Feilu | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 32 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 30 |
| 5 | Qingdao Red Lions | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 28 |
| 6 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 24 |
| 7 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
| 8 | Beijing Institute | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 46 | 23 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | Qingdao Red Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Institute | 0-2 L | 6-1 W |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Xiamen Feilu | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Qingdao Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/08 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
3-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves win (35%). Probabilities: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 35%, draw 32%, Qingdao Red Lions 34%.
How many goals are expected in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1.06 · Qingdao Red Lions 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

