Football · China Division 2 · 13/10, 13:35

Prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions

Team pages: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves · Qingdao Red Lions

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves1.06
Qingdao Red Lions1.04
1X2
35% 32% 34%
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves Draw Qingdao Red Lions
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWWDLDDL
Qingdao Red Lions 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDWDLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1487 · Qingdao Red Lions 1472
Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesDrawQingdao Red Lions
Our model34%33%33%
Market35%31%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesQingdao Red Lions
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.81.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03.2 / 0.2

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tai'an Tiankuang 25997 292436
2 Nantong Haimen Codion 267136 312534
3 Xiamen Feilu 25889 323132
4 Ganzhou Ruishi 267910 223830
5 Qingdao Red Lions 256109 242428
6 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 265912 232924
7 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 255911 202824
8 Beijing Institute 265813 254623

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChengdu Rongcheng ReservesQingdao Red Lions
Beijing Institute 0-2 L 6-1 W
Tai'an Tiankuang 1-1 D 0-1 L
Nantong Haimen Codion 1-1 D 1-1 D
Xiamen Feilu 5-1 W 1-0 W
Ganzhou Ruishi 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

DDLWWDLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
0-2 0-2 43 L
19/09 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 102 D
12/09 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 15 D
23/08 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 32 L
16/08 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 33 D
08/08 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
1-0 3-2 14 W
02/08 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
2-1 5-1 52 W
27/07 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 35 L
19/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 52 D
11/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 35 D

Qingdao Red Lions

LLWDWDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 74 L
19/09 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-1 1-2 33 L
13/09 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 54 W
22/08 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-2 23 L
19/08 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-0 1-1 16 D
15/08 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 42 W
01/08 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 54 D
27/07 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
3-0 6-1 21 W
19/07 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 45 L
12/07 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves win (35%). Probabilities: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 35%, draw 32%, Qingdao Red Lions 34%.

How many goals are expected in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1.06 · Qingdao Red Lions 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.