Football · China Division 2 · 07/10, 13:30

Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Xiamen Feilu

Team pages: Nantong Haimen Codion · Xiamen Feilu

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Nantong Haimen Codion1.34
Xiamen Feilu0.91
1X2
46% 30% 25%
Nantong Haimen Codion Draw Xiamen Feilu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Nantong Haimen Codion 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDLWWWDDDW
Xiamen Feilu 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLLDWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Haimen Codion 1530 · Xiamen Feilu 1463
Nantong Haimen CodionDrawXiamen Feilu
Our model45%30%24%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Haimen Codion (rating 1530 vs 1463).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nantong Haimen CodionXiamen Feilu
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 10.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.52.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.12.8 / 0

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tai'an Tiankuang 24897 262433
2 Xiamen Feilu 24888 322932
3 Nantong Haimen Codion 246126 282430
4 Ganzhou Ruishi 24789 213429
5 Qingdao Red Lions 246108 242228
6 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 245910 202624
7 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 244812 202820
8 Beijing Institute 244713 224519

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNantong Haimen CodionXiamen Feilu
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 2-0 W 1-2 L
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1-1 D 1-5 L
Qingdao Red Lions 1-1 D 0-1 L
Beijing Institute 2-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nantong Haimen Codion (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantong Haimen Codion

LDLWWWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 03 W
12/09 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 1-1 65 D
22/08 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-2 73 D
19/08 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 1-1 56 D
15/08 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 44 W
02/08 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
2-0 2-1 43 W
29/07 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
0-0 2-1 104 W
26/07 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 103 L
19/07 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 62 D
04/07 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 36 L

Xiamen Feilu

DDLLLDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
1-0 3-0 40 W
13/09 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 34 L
23/08 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-0 0-2 81 L
16/08 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 05 W
08/08 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
02/08 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-2 1-5 72 L
29/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 93 L
26/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 74 L
18/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 –– D
05/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Xiamen Feilu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (46%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 46%, draw 30%, Xiamen Feilu 25%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Xiamen Feilu?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 1.34 · Xiamen Feilu 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Xiamen Feilu?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.