Football · China Division 2 · 17/10, 11:00

Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Tai'an Tiankuang

Team pages: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves · Tai'an Tiankuang

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1.23

Tai'an Tiankuang1.12

1X2

37% 30% 32%

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves Draw Tai'an Tiankuang

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWDLWD

Tai'an Tiankuang 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDLDDDWD

Head-to-head

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0–2–1 Tai'an Tiankuang (3 last)

Tai'an Tiankuang0-0Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Tai'an Tiankuang2-1Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1-1Tai'an Tiankuang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1508 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1503

	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Draw	Tai'an Tiankuang
Our model	37%	31%	32%
Market	38%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Tai'an Tiankuang
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.05
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.94 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:04 +10’	2.38	3.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +10’	2.29	3.05	2.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0–2–1 Tai'an Tiankuang

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	0-0 HT 0-0	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
27/09/25 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	2-1 HT 1-0	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
23/08/25 China Division 2	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tai'an Tiankuang	26	9	10	7	29	24	37
2	Nantong Haimen Codion	26	7	13	6	31	25	34
3	Xiamen Feilu	26	8	9	9	32	31	33
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	26	7	9	10	22	38	30
5	Qingdao Red Lions	26	6	11	9	25	25	29
6	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	26	5	10	11	21	29	25
7	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	26	5	9	12	23	29	24
8	Beijing Institute	26	5	8	13	25	46	23

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Tai'an Tiankuang
Nantong Haimen Codion	0-2 L	1-2 L
Ganzhou Ruishi	4-0 W	3-0 W
Xiamen Feilu	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

DWWLLWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
06/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
18/09	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
12/09	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
23/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	4-0	2	5	W
16/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
08/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	4-1	8	3	W
29/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-1	1-1	9	1	D

Tai'an Tiankuang

WDLDLDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
07/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
19/09	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/09	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
22/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
15/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
08/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
02/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
29/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-1	3-2	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuhan Three Towns Reserves win (37%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 37%, draw 30%, Tai'an Tiankuang 32%.

How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1.23 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1.12), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.