Football · China Division 2 · 18/10, 13:30

Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions

Team pages: Xiamen Feilu · Qingdao Red Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

Xiamen Feilu1.16

Qingdao Red Lions0.89

1X2

41% 31% 28%

Xiamen Feilu Draw Qingdao Red Lions

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Xiamen Feilu 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLWLD

Qingdao Red Lions 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLWLLD

Head-to-head

Xiamen Feilu 0–1 Qingdao Red Lions (1 last)

Qingdao Red Lions1-0Xiamen Feilu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiamen Feilu 1457 · Qingdao Red Lions 1480

	Xiamen Feilu	Draw	Qingdao Red Lions
Our model	41%	33%	27%
Market	42%	30%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Xiamen Feilu	Qingdao Red Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	1.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:02 +6’	2.15	3.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiamen Feilu 0–0–1 Qingdao Red Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 China Division 2	Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 HT 0-0	Xiamen Feilu

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tai'an Tiankuang	26	9	10	7	29	24	37
2	Nantong Haimen Codion	26	7	13	6	31	25	34
3	Xiamen Feilu	26	8	9	9	32	31	33
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	26	7	9	10	22	38	30
5	Qingdao Red Lions	26	6	11	9	25	25	29
6	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	26	5	10	11	21	29	25
7	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	26	5	9	12	23	29	24
8	Beijing Institute	26	5	8	13	25	46	23

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Xiamen Feilu	Qingdao Red Lions
Tai'an Tiankuang	0-0 D	0-1 L
Nantong Haimen Codion	0-2 L	1-1 D
Beijing Institute	3-0 W	6-1 W
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-5 L	1-1 D
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Qingdao Red Lions (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xiamen Feilu

LLLDWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
07/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
13/09	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
23/08	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-2	8	1	L
16/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	2-0	0	5	W
08/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
02/08	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-2	1-5	7	2	L
29/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-2	9	3	L
26/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-0	1-2	7	4	L

Qingdao Red Lions

LWDWDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
06/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
19/09	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
13/09	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
22/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
15/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
01/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	3-0	6-1	2	1	W
19/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Xiamen Feilu win (41%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 41%, draw 31%, Qingdao Red Lions 28%.

How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.16 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.89), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.