Football · China Division 2 · 31/10, 07:30

Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Nantong Haimen Codion

Team pages: Xiamen Feilu · Nantong Haimen Codion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Xiamen Feilu1.14

Nantong Haimen Codion1.27

1X2

32% 29% 39%

Xiamen Feilu Draw Nantong Haimen Codion

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Xiamen Feilu 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWLDWD

Nantong Haimen Codion 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDDWWDWW

Head-to-head

Xiamen Feilu 0–1 Nantong Haimen Codion (1 last)

Nantong Haimen Codion2-0Xiamen Feilu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiamen Feilu 1495 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1575

	Xiamen Feilu	Draw	Nantong Haimen Codion
Our model	32%	30%	38%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Haimen Codion (rating 1495 vs 1575).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Xiamen Feilu	Nantong Haimen Codion
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.20

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.95 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:35 +32’	2.75	3.20	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:41 +27’	2.95	2.85	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiamen Feilu 0–0–1 Nantong Haimen Codion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/10/26 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	2-0 HT 1-0	Xiamen Feilu

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	28	9	13	6	37	26	40
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	28	10	10	8	32	27	40
3	Xiamen Feilu	28	9	10	9	37	33	37
4	Qingdao Red Lions	28	7	11	10	26	28	32
5	Ganzhou Ruishi	28	7	10	11	23	40	31
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	28	6	9	13	25	32	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	28	5	10	13	23	35	25
8	Beijing Institute	28	5	10	13	28	49	25

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Xiamen Feilu	Nantong Haimen Codion
Qingdao Red Lions	3-0 W	1-1 D
Tai'an Tiankuang	0-0 D	2-1 W
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-5 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nantong Haimen Codion (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xiamen Feilu

LDWLLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
18/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
12/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
07/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
13/09	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
23/08	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-2	8	1	L
16/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	2-0	0	5	W
08/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
02/08	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-2	1-5	7	2	L

Nantong Haimen Codion

WWDDDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
18/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	3-1	3-1	1	6	W
11/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
07/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
18/09	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
12/09	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-2	7	3	D
19/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
02/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	2-0	2-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Nantong Haimen Codion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Haimen Codion win (39%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 32%, draw 29%, Nantong Haimen Codion 39%.

How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Nantong Haimen Codion?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.14 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1.27), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Nantong Haimen Codion?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.