Football · China Division 2 · 31/10, 07:30

Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions

Team pages: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves · Qingdao Red Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1.31

Qingdao Red Lions0.89

1X2

46% 30% 25%

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves Draw Qingdao Red Lions

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLWDWL

Qingdao Red Lions 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLLDLW

Head-to-head

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1–0 Qingdao Red Lions (1 last)

Qingdao Red Lions0-2Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1503 · Qingdao Red Lions 1475

	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Draw	Qingdao Red Lions
Our model	45%	31%	24%
Market	46%	29%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Qingdao Red Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.5	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.10

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.32
2	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 5.04 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
06:41 +25’	1.95	3.10	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +19’	1.93	3.05	3.98
08:42 +27’	1.67▼	3.32▲	5.04▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1–0–0 Qingdao Red Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/10/26 China Division 2	Qingdao Red Lions	0-2 HT 0-1	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	28	9	13	6	37	26	40
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	28	10	10	8	32	27	40
3	Xiamen Feilu	28	9	10	9	37	33	37
4	Qingdao Red Lions	28	7	11	10	26	28	32
5	Ganzhou Ruishi	28	7	10	11	23	40	31
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	28	6	9	13	25	32	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	28	5	10	13	23	35	25
8	Beijing Institute	28	5	10	13	28	49	25

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Qingdao Red Lions
Nantong Haimen Codion	0-3 L	1-1 D
Ganzhou Ruishi	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

WLLWDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
17/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
11/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
06/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
18/09	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
12/09	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
23/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	4-0	2	5	W
16/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
08/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	4-1	8	3	W

Qingdao Red Lions

DWDLWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
18/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
13/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
06/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
19/09	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
13/09	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
22/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
15/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
01/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuhan Three Towns Reserves win (46%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 46%, draw 30%, Qingdao Red Lions 25%.

How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1.31 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.89), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.