Football · El Salvador Apertura · 24/09, 03:00
Prediction: CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique
Team pages: CD Luis Angel Firpo · CD Cacahuatique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
CD Luis Angel Firpo1.94
CD Cacahuatique0.71
1X2
CD Luis Angel Firpo
Draw
CD Cacahuatique
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Luis Angel Firpo
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CD Cacahuatique
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Luis Angel Firpo
5–1–0
CD Cacahuatique
(6 last)
- CD Luis Angel Firpo1-0CD Cacahuatique
- CD Cacahuatique0-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
- CD Cacahuatique1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
- CD Luis Angel Firpo3-0CD Cacahuatique
- CD Cacahuatique1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
- CD Cacahuatique1-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1550 · CD Cacahuatique 1391
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | Draw | CD Cacahuatique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1550 vs 1391).
- H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | CD Cacahuatique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Luis Angel Firpo 5–1–0 CD Cacahuatique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 25/02/26 El Salvador Cup | CD Cacahuatique | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
| 04/02/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Cacahuatique | 1-3 HT 1-0 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
| 12/10/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 3-0 HT 0-0 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 10/08/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Cacahuatique | 1-3 HT 1-1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
| 03/05/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Cacahuatique | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD FAS | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | AD Isidro Metapan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Municipal Limeno | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | CD Aguila | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlético Balboa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 8 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | CD INCA Aruba | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 11 |
| 11 | CD Cacahuatique | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Luis Angel Firpo | CD Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|
| Atlético Balboa | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Internacional Santa Tecla | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| CD FAS | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CD INCA Aruba | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Municipal Limeno | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Fuerte San Francisco | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CD Aguila | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Alianza FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Luis Angel Firpo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
0-3 | 1-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 17/08 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/07 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/12 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 14/12 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
CD Cacahuatique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 28/07 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
2-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Luis Angel Firpo win (66%). Probabilities: CD Luis Angel Firpo 66%, draw 22%, CD Cacahuatique 12%.
How many goals are expected in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique?
The model expects 2.66 goals (CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.94 · CD Cacahuatique 0.71), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.