Football · El Salvador Apertura · 03/10, 23:00
Prediction: CD Aguila vs CD Cacahuatique
Team pages: CD Aguila · CD Cacahuatique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
CD Aguila1.66
CD Cacahuatique0.79
1X2
CD Aguila
Draw
CD Cacahuatique
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Aguila
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
CD Cacahuatique
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Aguila
2–3–1
CD Cacahuatique
(6 last)
- CD Cacahuatique2-2CD Aguila
- CD Cacahuatique0-0CD Aguila
- CD Aguila1-1CD Cacahuatique
- CD Cacahuatique1-2CD Aguila
- CD Aguila0-3CD Cacahuatique
- CD Aguila4-2CD Cacahuatique
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1518 · CD Cacahuatique 1443
| CD Aguila | Draw | CD Cacahuatique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Aguila (rating 1518 vs 1443).
- H2H favours CD Aguila: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Aguila | CD Cacahuatique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 2–3–1 CD Cacahuatique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 El Salvador Apertura | CD Cacahuatique | 2-2 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
| 26/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Cacahuatique | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
| 01/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 09/11/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD Cacahuatique | 1-2 HT 1-2 | CD Aguila |
| 07/09/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 0-3 HT 0-2 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 15/03/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 4-2 HT 2-1 | CD Cacahuatique |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD FAS | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | AD Isidro Metapan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Alianza FC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Municipal Limeno | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 7 | CD Aguila | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 8 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlético Balboa | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
| 10 | CD INCA Aruba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 12 |
| 11 | CD Cacahuatique | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Aguila | CD Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional Santa Tecla | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CD INCA Aruba | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Municipal Limeno | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Alianza FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Fuerte San Francisco | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| CD FAS | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Atlético Balboa | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| AD Isidro Metapan | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 4 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Aguila (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Aguila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 12 | L |
| 20/09 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 10/09 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
CD Cacahuatique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/09 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs CD Cacahuatique?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Aguila win (58%). Probabilities: CD Aguila 58%, draw 25%, CD Cacahuatique 17%.
How many goals are expected in CD Aguila vs CD Cacahuatique?
The model expects 2.46 goals (CD Aguila 1.66 · CD Cacahuatique 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Aguila vs CD Cacahuatique?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.