Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 08/09, 15:00

Prediction: Paraguari AC vs Guairena FC

Team pages: Paraguari AC · Guairena FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Paraguari AC1.26

Guairena FC0.96

1X2

42% 30% 28%

Paraguari AC Draw Guairena FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Paraguari AC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Guairena FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Paraguari AC 0–1 Guairena FC (1 last)

Guairena FC1-0Paraguari AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paraguari AC 1508 · Guairena FC 1476

	Paraguari AC	Draw	Guairena FC
Our model	42%	31%	27%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paraguari AC	Guairena FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	0.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:02 +3’	2.10	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paraguari AC 0–0–1 Guairena FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Paraguari AC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	22	13	5	4	32	20	44
2	General Caballero JLM	22	13	5	4	44	26	44
3	Deportivo Santaní	22	13	3	6	38	22	42
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	22	11	6	5	36	24	39
5	Sol de America	22	7	13	2	27	18	34
6	Resistencia FC	22	8	8	6	24	24	32
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	22	8	5	9	31	34	29
8	Independiente FBC	22	6	10	6	30	31	28
9	Carapegua	22	8	4	10	26	37	28
10	Deportivo Capiata	22	6	9	7	29	31	27
11	Paraguari AC	22	7	5	10	25	29	26
12	Fernando de la Mora	22	6	7	9	23	31	25
13	Guairena FC	22	6	6	10	20	26	24
14	Tacuary	22	3	10	9	24	36	19
15	Encarnacion FC	22	5	3	14	21	31	18
16	3 de Noviembre	22	3	7	12	26	36	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paraguari AC	Guairena FC
Carapegua	3-2 W	1-2 L
Resistencia FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-3 L	0-1 L
Sol de America	1-1 D	0-1 L
Encarnacion FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Deportivo Capiata	2-1 W	0-0 D
Independiente FBC	3-2 W	1-2 L
Tacuary	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Paraguari AC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paraguari AC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
31/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	7	7	L
15/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
08/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
25/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
18/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-2	6	7	W
10/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
03/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Guairena FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	10	L
30/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
21/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
15/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
10/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
01/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
27/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
18/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	9	4	L
12/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paraguari AC vs Guairena FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paraguari AC win (42%). Probabilities: Paraguari AC 42%, draw 30%, Guairena FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Paraguari AC vs Guairena FC?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Paraguari AC 1.26 · Guairena FC 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs Guairena FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.