Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sol de America vs Fernando de la Mora

Team pages: Sol de America · Fernando de la Mora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

Sol de America1.25

Fernando de la Mora0.88

1X2

45% 29% 26%

Sol de America Draw Fernando de la Mora

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sol de America 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DDDDWDDWDL

Fernando de la Mora 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWLDDW

Head-to-head

Sol de America 3–3–0 Fernando de la Mora (6 last)

Fernando de la Mora0-1Sol de America
Fernando de la Mora2-2Sol de America
Sol de America0-0Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora0-2Sol de America
Sol de America1-0Fernando de la Mora
Sol de America1-1Fernando de la Mora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sol de America 1551 · Fernando de la Mora 1538

	Sol de America	Draw	Fernando de la Mora
Our model	44%	32%	25%
Market	46%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sol de America: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sol de America	Fernando de la Mora
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.6	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.40

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.10 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
2	3.60 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.51 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:29 +27’	1.95	3.10	3.60
11:51 +4’	1.95	3.40▲	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +55’	1.96	3.05	3.48
05:13 +44’	1.97▲	3.02▼	3.49▲
11:50 +5’	1.93▼	3.15▲	3.45▼
13:00 +91’	1.94▲	3.20▲	3.51▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de America 3–3–0 Fernando de la Mora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-1 HT 0-1	Sol de America
05/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	2-2 HT 2-0	Sol de America
01/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	0-0 HT 0-0	Fernando de la Mora
17/09/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-2 HT 0-0	Sol de America
11/06/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	1-0 HT 1-0	Fernando de la Mora
04/08/22 Paraguay Cup	Sol de America	1-1 HT 1-1	Fernando de la Mora

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	24	15	5	4	49	27	50
2	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	23	13	6	4	33	21	45
3	Deportivo Santaní	23	13	3	7	39	24	42
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	23	11	6	6	36	26	39
5	Sol de America	23	7	13	3	27	19	34
6	Resistencia FC	24	8	8	8	26	28	32
7	Independiente FBC	23	7	10	6	32	32	31
8	Carapegua	23	9	4	10	28	37	31
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	23	8	6	9	32	35	30
10	Paraguari AC	23	8	5	10	28	30	29
11	Fernando de la Mora	23	7	7	9	24	31	28
12	Deportivo Capiata	23	6	9	8	29	32	27
13	Guairena FC	24	6	6	12	21	32	24
14	3 de Noviembre	24	5	7	12	29	37	22
15	Tacuary	23	3	11	9	25	37	20
16	Encarnacion FC	23	5	4	14	22	32	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sol de America	Fernando de la Mora
Paraguari AC	1-1 D	2-2 D
Deportivo Capiata	4-1 W	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Tacuary	1-1 D	1-1 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-1 D	1-2 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sol de America (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sol de America

DDDDWDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
04/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
30/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
21/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
15/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
02/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
25/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	9	D

Fernando de la Mora

DWDDLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
29/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
22/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
15/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
01/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
26/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
21/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
10/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sol de America vs Fernando de la Mora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de America win (45%). Probabilities: Sol de America 45%, draw 29%, Fernando de la Mora 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sol de America vs Fernando de la Mora?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Sol de America 1.25 · Fernando de la Mora 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sol de America vs Fernando de la Mora?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.