Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 14/09, 21:30

Prediction: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Paraguari AC

Team pages: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval · Paraguari AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.6

Paraguari AC1.22

1X2

45% 27% 28%

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Draw Paraguari AC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLLWDL

Paraguari AC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDLWWW

Head-to-head

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1–0 Paraguari AC (1 last)

Paraguari AC1-2Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1495 · Paraguari AC 1521

	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Draw	Paraguari AC
Our model	45%	27%	28%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Paraguari AC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.9	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.25

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.13 ★
X	3.40 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	3.30 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:29 +30’	1.90	3.40	3.30
09:01 +1’	2.05▲	3.30▼	3.00▼
10:01 +2’	2.00▼	3.25▼	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:23 +39’	2.14	3.00	3.09
09:41 +22’	2.04▼	3.06▲	3.23▲
10:22 +40’	1.96▼	3.13▲	3.37▲
12:29 +36’	2.13▲	3.06▼	3.04▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1–0–0 Paraguari AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Paraguari AC	1-2 HT 0-0	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	24	15	5	4	49	27	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	24	14	3	7	40	24	45
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	23	13	6	4	33	21	45
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	23	11	6	6	36	26	39
5	Sol de America	24	8	13	3	30	21	37
6	Resistencia FC	24	8	8	8	26	28	32
7	Independiente FBC	23	7	10	6	32	32	31
8	Carapegua	23	9	4	10	28	37	31
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	23	8	6	9	32	35	30
10	Paraguari AC	23	8	5	10	28	30	29
11	Fernando de la Mora	24	7	7	10	26	34	28
12	Deportivo Capiata	24	6	9	9	29	33	27
13	Guairena FC	24	6	6	12	21	32	24
14	3 de Noviembre	24	5	7	12	29	37	22
15	Tacuary	23	3	11	9	25	37	20
16	Encarnacion FC	23	5	4	14	22	32	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Paraguari AC
Carapegua	0-2 L	3-2 W
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	2-3 L
Encarnacion FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Santaní	2-3 L	0-2 L
Fernando de la Mora	1-2 L	2-2 D
Guairena FC	1-1 D	3-1 W
Resistencia FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Sol de America	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

DWDLWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	11	3	L
06/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
31/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	1	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	6	3	L
15/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
09/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
31/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
27/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	1	9	D

Paraguari AC

DWLWWDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	0	W
04/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
31/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	7	7	L
15/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
08/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
25/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
18/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-2	6	7	W
10/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Paraguari AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (45%). Probabilities: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 45%, draw 27%, Paraguari AC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Paraguari AC?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.6 · Paraguari AC 1.22), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Paraguari AC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.