Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 13/09, 15:00
Prediction: Deportivo Capiata vs Deportivo Santaní
Team pages: Deportivo Capiata · Deportivo Santaní
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Deportivo Capiata1.27
Deportivo Santaní1.45
1X2
Deportivo Capiata
Draw
Deportivo Santaní
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Capiata
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Santaní
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Capiata
1–3–2
Deportivo Santaní
(6 last)
- Deportivo Santaní1-0Deportivo Capiata
- Deportivo Santaní1-1Deportivo Capiata
- Deportivo Capiata1-2Deportivo Santaní
- Deportivo Santaní1-1Deportivo Capiata
- Deportivo Capiata1-1Deportivo Santaní
- Deportivo Santaní1-2Deportivo Capiata
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1427 · Deportivo Santaní 1549
| Deportivo Capiata | Draw | Deportivo Santaní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1427 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Deportivo Santaní: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Capiata | Deportivo Santaní | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 4.8 | 3.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 1–3–2 Deportivo Santaní
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Santaní | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 26/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Santaní | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 19/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Capiata | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Santaní |
| 29/08/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Santaní | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 26/05/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Capiata | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Santaní |
| 22/10/19 Paraguay Division Profesional | Deportivo Santaní | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Capiata |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General Caballero JLM | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | Deportivo Santaní | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 42 |
| 4 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 34 |
| 6 | Resistencia FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Independiente FBC | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 32 | 31 |
| 8 | Carapegua | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | 31 |
| 9 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Paraguari AC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
| 11 | Fernando de la Mora | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 28 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 32 | 27 |
| 13 | Guairena FC | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 32 | 24 |
| 14 | 3 de Noviembre | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 22 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 37 | 20 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 32 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Capiata | Deportivo Santaní |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando de la Mora | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| 3 de Noviembre | 4-3 W | 4-0 W |
| Paraguari AC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Independiente FBC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Tacuary | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Club Atlético Tembetary | 1-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Capiata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/07 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Deportivo Santaní
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Capiata vs Deportivo Santaní?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Santaní win (40%). Probabilities: Deportivo Capiata 32%, draw 28%, Deportivo Santaní 40%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Capiata vs Deportivo Santaní?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Deportivo Capiata 1.27 · Deportivo Santaní 1.45), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Capiata vs Deportivo Santaní?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.