Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 08/09, 15:00

Prediction: 3 de Noviembre vs Sol de America

Team pages: 3 de Noviembre · Sol de America

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

3 de Noviembre1.07

Sol de America1.43

1X2

28% 28% 44%

3 de Noviembre Draw Sol de America

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

3 de Noviembre 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLWWWL

Sol de America 2-8-0 (W-D-L)

DDDDDWDDWD

Head-to-head

3 de Noviembre 0–1 Sol de America (1 last)

Sol de America2-03 de Noviembre

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 3 de Noviembre 1460 · Sol de America 1567

	3 de Noviembre	Draw	Sol de America
Our model	27%	29%	44%
Market	28%	27%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America (rating 1460 vs 1567).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	3 de Noviembre	Sol de America
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.5	4.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.30

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +21’	3.20	3.30	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 3 de Noviembre 0–0–1 Sol de America

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	2-0 HT 1-0	3 de Noviembre

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	22	13	5	4	32	20	44
2	General Caballero JLM	22	13	5	4	44	26	44
3	Deportivo Santaní	22	13	3	6	38	22	42
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	22	11	6	5	36	24	39
5	Sol de America	22	7	13	2	27	18	34
6	Resistencia FC	22	8	8	6	24	24	32
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	22	8	5	9	31	34	29
8	Independiente FBC	22	6	10	6	30	31	28
9	Carapegua	22	8	4	10	26	37	28
10	Deportivo Capiata	22	6	9	7	29	31	27
11	Paraguari AC	22	7	5	10	25	29	26
12	Fernando de la Mora	22	6	7	9	23	31	25
13	Guairena FC	22	6	6	10	20	26	24
14	Tacuary	22	3	10	9	24	36	19
15	Encarnacion FC	22	5	3	14	21	31	18
16	3 de Noviembre	22	3	7	12	26	36	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	3 de Noviembre	Sol de America
Deportivo Capiata	3-4 L	4-1 W
Independiente FBC	5-2 W	1-1 D
Tacuary	1-0 W	1-1 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-0 W	1-1 D
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-2 L	1-1 D
Carapegua	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 5 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

3 de Noviembre

DLLLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	5	3	L
28/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	5-2	5	4	W
23/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
17/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
09/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
03/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
28/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
19/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
11/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-4	1	3	L
03/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-2	5	9	D

Sol de America

DDDDDWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
30/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
21/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
15/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
02/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
25/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 3 de Noviembre vs Sol de America?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sol de America win (44%). Probabilities: 3 de Noviembre 28%, draw 28%, Sol de America 44%.

How many goals are expected in 3 de Noviembre vs Sol de America?

The model expects 2.5 goals (3 de Noviembre 1.07 · Sol de America 1.43), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 3 de Noviembre vs Sol de America?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.