Football · Brazil Serie A · 19/09, 23:30

Prediction: Remo vs Santos

Team pages: Remo · Santos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Remo1.29

Santos1.29

1X2

35% 29% 35%

Remo Draw Santos

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Remo 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDDLLL

Santos 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWDWWW

Head-to-head

Remo 0–1–2 Santos (3 last)

Remo0-1Santos
Santos0-0Remo
Santos2-0Remo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Remo 1457 · Santos 1565

	Remo	Draw	Santos
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	35%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santos (rating 1457 vs 1565).
H2H favours Santos: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Remo	Santos
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:06 +4’	2.63	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Remo 0–1–2 Santos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/08/26 Copa do Brasil	Remo	0-1 HT 0-0	Santos
02/08/26 Copa do Brasil	Santos	0-0 HT 0-0	Remo
03/04/26 Brazil Serie A	Santos	2-0 HT 1-0	Remo

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Palmeiras	27	16	8	3	47	21	56
2	Flamengo	26	16	6	4	51	21	54
3	Athletico Paranaense	27	13	7	7	41	31	46
4	Fluminense	27	12	9	6	41	35	45
5	EC Bahia	26	11	10	5	40	32	43
6	Cruzeiro	27	12	6	9	39	39	42
7	Atletico Mineiro	26	11	6	9	35	31	39
8	Coritiba	27	10	8	9	37	38	38
9	Bragantino	26	10	6	10	32	29	36
10	Santos	26	9	8	9	39	39	35
11	Sao Paulo	26	9	6	11	31	30	33
12	Vitoria	26	9	5	12	25	37	32
13	Corinthians	26	8	8	10	27	27	32
14	Botafogo	26	8	8	10	38	41	32
15	Gremio	26	7	7	12	28	35	28
16	Mirassol	26	7	7	12	29	40	28
17	Vasco da Gama	26	7	7	12	29	41	28
18	Internacional	27	6	10	11	30	35	28
19	Remo	26	5	8	13	30	43	23
20	Chapecoense	26	3	8	15	28	52	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Remo	Santos
Internacional	1-1 D	3-2 W
Mirassol	1-2 L	1-1 D
Vitoria	2-0 W	3-1 W
Corinthians	0-3 L	1-0 W
Athletico Paranaense	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Santos (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Remo

LWLWLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
01/09	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	0-0	2-3	9	4	L
22/08	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/08	Internacional Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/07	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
24/07	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
01/06	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/05	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L

Santos

LWLDLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A	2-0	2-1	13	5	W
06/09	Internacional Brazil Serie A	3-0	3-2	2	9	W
30/08	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
23/08	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	10	6	D
16/08	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
09/08	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	0-2	0-2	10	2	L
25/07	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-2	12	7	D
17/07	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
31/05	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-0	3-1	1	8	W
24/05	Gremio Brazil Serie A	1-1	2-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Remo vs Santos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Remo win (35%). Probabilities: Remo 35%, draw 29%, Santos 35%.

How many goals are expected in Remo vs Santos?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Remo 1.29 · Santos 1.29), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Santos?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.