Football · Brazil Serie A · 20/09, 23:30

Prediction: Flamengo vs Bragantino

Team pages: Flamengo · Bragantino

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Flamengo2.12
Bragantino0.74
1X2
69% 20% 11%
Flamengo Draw Bragantino
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Flamengo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWWLWWWW
Bragantino 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLDWLLD
Head-to-head
Flamengo 4–1–1 Bragantino (6 last)
  • Bragantino3-0Flamengo
  • Flamengo3-0Bragantino
  • Bragantino1-2Flamengo
  • Flamengo2-1Bragantino
  • Bragantino1-1Flamengo
  • Flamengo1-0Bragantino
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Flamengo 1605 · Bragantino 1494
FlamengoDrawBragantino
Our model68%21%11%
Market69%19%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flamengo (rating 1605 vs 1494).
  • H2H favours Flamengo: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FlamengoBragantino
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.61.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.10.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)4.1 / 6.82.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 04.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Flamengo 411 Bragantino

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/04/26
Brazil Serie A
Bragantino3-0
HT 2-0
Flamengo
23/11/25
Brazil Serie A
Flamengo3-0
HT 0-0
Bragantino
24/07/25
Brazil Serie A
Bragantino1-2
HT 0-0
Flamengo
26/08/24
Brazil Serie A
Flamengo2-1
HT 1-0
Bragantino
04/05/24
Brazil Serie A
Bragantino1-1
HT 1-0
Flamengo
24/11/23
Brazil Serie A
Flamengo1-0
HT 0-0
Bragantino

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Flamengo 271764 532257
2 Palmeiras 271683 472156
3 Athletico Paranaense 271377 413146
4 EC Bahia 2712105 423346
5 Fluminense 271296 413545
6 Cruzeiro 271269 393942
7 Atletico Mineiro 271179 363240
8 Coritiba 271089 373838
9 Bragantino 2610610 322936
10 Santos 26989 393935
11 Botafogo 289811 414535
12 Sao Paulo 269611 313033
13 Vitoria 279612 273933
14 Corinthians 278811 282932
15 Mirassol 288812 334232
16 Gremio 277713 303828
17 Vasco da Gama 267712 294128
18 Internacional 2761011 303528
19 Remo 275814 314523
20 Chapecoense 273915 295318

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFlamengoBragantino
Corinthians 2-1 W 0-2 L
Botafogo 3-0 W 1-1 D
Internacional 1-1 D 3-1 W
Sao Paulo 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Flamengo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Flamengo

WDDWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Corinthians
Brazil Serie A
0-0 2-1 206 W
06/09 Remo
Brazil Serie A
0-0 1-0 94 W
03/09 Mirassol
Brazil Serie A
2-0 2-0 92 W
30/08 Botafogo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 3-0 52 W
23/08 Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-2 34 L
16/08 Mirassol
Brazil Serie A
1-0 5-1 33 W
10/08 Vitoria
Brazil Serie A
1-0 2-0 82 W
30/07 Internacional
Brazil Serie A
0-1 1-1 34 D
26/07 Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A
0-0 1-1 54 D
23/07 Chapecoense
Brazil Serie A
2-0 4-0 31 W

Bragantino

WWDDLDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Botafogo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 46 D
05/09 EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A
2-2 2-3 103 L
30/08 Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A
0-2 1-2 75 L
23/08 Gremio
Brazil Serie A
0-0 1-0 85 W
15/08 Athletico Paranaense
Brazil Serie A
0-0 1-1 51 D
09/08 Corinthians
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-2 34 L
26/07 Coritiba
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-0 86 D
18/07 Fluminense
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 49 D
31/05 Internacional
Brazil Serie A
2-0 3-1 66 W
25/05 Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A
1-0 3-0 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flamengo vs Bragantino?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Flamengo win (69%). Probabilities: Flamengo 69%, draw 20%, Bragantino 11%.

How many goals are expected in Flamengo vs Bragantino?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Flamengo 2.12 · Bragantino 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Bragantino?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.