Prediction: Flamengo vs Bragantino
Team pages: Flamengo · Bragantino
- Bragantino3-0Flamengo
- Flamengo3-0Bragantino
- Bragantino1-2Flamengo
- Flamengo2-1Bragantino
- Bragantino1-1Flamengo
- Flamengo1-0Bragantino
| Flamengo | Draw | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flamengo (rating 1605 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Flamengo: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flamengo | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 6.8 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flamengo 4–1–1 Bragantino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Flamengo |
| 23/11/25 Brazil Serie A | Flamengo | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Bragantino |
| 24/07/25 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Flamengo |
| 26/08/24 Brazil Serie A | Flamengo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bragantino |
| 04/05/24 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Flamengo |
| 24/11/23 Brazil Serie A | Flamengo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bragantino |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 22 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 46 |
| 4 | EC Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 40 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | 33 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 39 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 29 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | 32 |
| 16 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | 18 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Flamengo | Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Botafogo | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Internacional | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Sao Paulo | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Flamengo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flamengo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 20 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/07 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Bragantino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 31/05 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flamengo vs Bragantino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Flamengo win (69%). Probabilities: Flamengo 69%, draw 20%, Bragantino 11%.
How many goals are expected in Flamengo vs Bragantino?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Flamengo 2.12 · Bragantino 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Bragantino?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

