Football · Canada Premier League · 12/09, 01:00

Prediction: Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers

Team pages: Supra du Quebec · HFX Wanderers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Supra du Quebec2.05
HFX Wanderers1.6
1X2
47% 24% 29%
Supra du Quebec Draw HFX Wanderers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Supra du Quebec 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWDLLDWL
HFX Wanderers 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLWDLDLLWL
Head-to-head
Supra du Quebec 2–0 HFX Wanderers (2 last)
  • HFX Wanderers2-3Supra du Quebec
  • Supra du Quebec2-1HFX Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Supra du Quebec 1487 · HFX Wanderers 1448
Supra du QuebecDrawHFX Wanderers
Our model48%23%29%
Market46%26%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Supra du Quebec: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 21.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.10.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.92.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.22.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Supra du Quebec 200 HFX Wanderers

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/07/26
Canada Premier League
HFX Wanderers2-3
HT 2-0
Supra du Quebec
25/04/26
Canada Premier League
Supra du Quebec2-1
HT 1-1
HFX Wanderers

Standings · Canada Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cavalry FC 191342 371143
2 Forge FC 201334 301542
3 Atletico Ottawa 211047 343434
4 Vancouver FC 21939 292530
5 Supra du Quebec 206410 293622
6 HFX Wanderers 205510 283420
7 Inter Toronto 18477 233819
8 Pacific FC (CA) 191612 22399

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSupra du QuebecHFX Wanderers
Vancouver FC 2-3 L 1-0 W
Forge FC 1-0 W 0-0 D
Inter Toronto 1-1 D 3-4 L
Atletico Ottawa 1-2 L 1-2 L
Cavalry FC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Pacific FC (CA) 2-1 W 3-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Supra du Quebec (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Supra du Quebec

LWLWDLLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
2-2 2-3 73 L
29/08 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-0 27 W
23/08 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-1 109 D
20/08 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
2-2 2-3 33 L
16/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-2 65 L
09/08 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-1 55 D
01/08 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
1-1 2-1 W
29/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-2 46 L
25/07 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
0-2 3-2 22 W
18/07 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
0-2 1-5 53 L

HFX Wanderers

WLWDLDLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
1-1 3-4 33 L
22/08 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-0 85 W
16/08 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
1-3 3-4 63 L
08/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-2 13 L
03/08 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-0 77 D
25/07 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
2-0 2-3 62 L
18/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-1 00 D
06/07 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
1-0 2-1 21 W
01/07 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-3 1-3 82 L
26/06 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
2-1 5-2 102 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Supra du Quebec win (47%). Probabilities: Supra du Quebec 47%, draw 24%, HFX Wanderers 29%.

How many goals are expected in Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Supra du Quebec 2.05 · HFX Wanderers 1.6), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.