Prediction: Inter Toronto vs Vancouver FC
Team pages: Inter Toronto · Vancouver FC
- Vancouver FC4-0Inter Toronto
- Inter Toronto1-0Vancouver FC
- Vancouver FC2-1Inter Toronto
- Inter Toronto4-0Vancouver FC
- Inter Toronto1-0Vancouver FC
- Vancouver FC0-2Inter Toronto
| Inter Toronto | Draw | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver FC (rating 1463 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Inter Toronto: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Toronto | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.4 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Toronto 4–0–2 Vancouver FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 19/04/26 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vancouver FC |
| 22/09/25 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Inter Toronto |
| 19/07/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Vancouver FC |
| 25/05/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vancouver FC |
| 07/04/25 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Inter Toronto |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 15 | 42 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 34 | 34 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 22 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 37 | 20 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 20 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 42 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Toronto | Vancouver FC |
|---|---|---|
| Pacific FC (CA) | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Forge FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Ottawa | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| HFX Wanderers | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Cavalry FC | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Vancouver FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Toronto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 16/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Vancouver FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Toronto vs Vancouver FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Toronto win (37%). Probabilities: Inter Toronto 37%, draw 27%, Vancouver FC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Toronto vs Vancouver FC?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Inter Toronto 1.49 · Vancouver FC 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Toronto vs Vancouver FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.