Prediction: Pacific FC (CA) vs Vancouver FC
Team pages: Pacific FC (CA) · Vancouver FC
- Vancouver FC1-1Pacific FC (CA)
- Vancouver FC2-1Pacific FC (CA)
- Pacific FC (CA)1-3Vancouver FC
- Pacific FC (CA)1-1Vancouver FC
- Vancouver FC2-3Pacific FC (CA)
- Pacific FC (CA)4-4Vancouver FC
| Pacific FC (CA) | Draw | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 27% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver FC (rating 1438 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Vancouver FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pacific FC (CA) | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pacific FC (CA) 1–3–2 Vancouver FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 15/06/26 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 04/05/26 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Vancouver FC |
| 14/09/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vancouver FC |
| 11/08/25 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 28/06/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 4-4 HT 1-0 | Vancouver FC |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 12 | 49 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 37 | 34 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 28 | 30 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 23 |
| 6 | Inter Toronto | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 23 |
| 7 | Supra du Quebec | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 38 | 22 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pacific FC (CA) | Vancouver FC |
|---|---|---|
| Cavalry FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Inter Toronto | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Atletico Ottawa | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| HFX Wanderers | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Forge FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Pacific FC (CA) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/09 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 05/09 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 06/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Vancouver FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pacific FC (CA) vs Vancouver FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver FC win (47%). Probabilities: Pacific FC (CA) 26%, draw 26%, Vancouver FC 47%.
How many goals are expected in Pacific FC (CA) vs Vancouver FC?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Pacific FC (CA) 1.29 · Vancouver FC 1.77), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Pacific FC (CA) vs Vancouver FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

