Football · Canada Premier League · 20/09, 02:00

Prediction: Pacific FC (CA) vs Vancouver FC

Team pages: Pacific FC (CA) · Vancouver FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Pacific FC (CA)1.29
Vancouver FC1.77
1X2
26% 26% 47%
Pacific FC (CA) Draw Vancouver FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pacific FC (CA) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDDLWDDL
Vancouver FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWWDLLLWL
Head-to-head
Pacific FC (CA) 1–3–2 Vancouver FC (6 last)
  • Vancouver FC1-1Pacific FC (CA)
  • Vancouver FC2-1Pacific FC (CA)
  • Pacific FC (CA)1-3Vancouver FC
  • Pacific FC (CA)1-1Vancouver FC
  • Vancouver FC2-3Pacific FC (CA)
  • Pacific FC (CA)4-4Vancouver FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pacific FC (CA) 1438 · Vancouver FC 1525
Pacific FC (CA)DrawVancouver FC
Our model27%25%48%
Market26%27%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver FC (rating 1438 vs 1525).
  • H2H favours Vancouver FC: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pacific FC (CA)Vancouver FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.81.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.91.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 03.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pacific FC (CA) 132 Vancouver FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/08/26
Canada Premier League
Vancouver FC1-1
HT 0-1
Pacific FC (CA)
15/06/26
Canada Premier League
Vancouver FC2-1
HT 0-1
Pacific FC (CA)
04/05/26
Canada Premier League
Pacific FC (CA)1-3
HT 0-1
Vancouver FC
14/09/25
Canada Premier League
Pacific FC (CA)1-1
HT 0-1
Vancouver FC
11/08/25
Canada Premier League
Vancouver FC2-3
HT 1-1
Pacific FC (CA)
28/06/25
Canada Premier League
Pacific FC (CA)4-4
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cavalry FC 211542 411249
2 Forge FC 211434 331545
3 Atletico Ottawa 221048 343734
4 Vancouver FC 229310 302830
5 HFX Wanderers 226511 313723
6 Inter Toronto 20587 294223
7 Supra du Quebec 216411 293822
8 Pacific FC (CA) 211713 254310

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPacific FC (CA)Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
Inter Toronto 3-3 D 1-3 L
Atletico Ottawa 0-0 D 0-4 L
HFX Wanderers 4-3 W 0-1 L
Forge FC 0-2 L 1-0 W
Supra du Quebec 1-2 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Pacific FC (CA) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pacific FC (CA)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-1 42 L
10/09 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
1-0 3-3 310 D
05/09 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-0 34 D
31/08 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
1-1 4-3 33 W
23/08 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-2 12 L
15/08 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-1 33 D
08/08 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-1 47 D
01/08 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
1-1 1-2 L
26/07 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-1 2-3 85 L
06/07 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-2 61 L

Vancouver FC

WWWWDLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-3 83 L
07/09 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
2-2 3-2 13 W
29/08 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-1 43 L
22/08 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
0-1 0-1 55 L
20/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-1 0-4 63 L
15/08 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-1 33 D
08/08 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-0 16 W
02/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
3-0 3-1 35 W
25/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-0 35 W
18/07 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
2-0 5-1 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pacific FC (CA) vs Vancouver FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver FC win (47%). Probabilities: Pacific FC (CA) 26%, draw 26%, Vancouver FC 47%.

How many goals are expected in Pacific FC (CA) vs Vancouver FC?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Pacific FC (CA) 1.29 · Vancouver FC 1.77), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pacific FC (CA) vs Vancouver FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.