Football · Canada Premier League · 20/09, 21:00
Prediction: HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto
Team pages: HFX Wanderers · Inter Toronto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
HFX Wanderers1.92
Inter Toronto1.31
1X2
HFX Wanderers
Draw
Inter Toronto
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
HFX Wanderers
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Inter Toronto
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HFX Wanderers
1–4–1
Inter Toronto
(6 last)
- Inter Toronto4-3HFX Wanderers
- HFX Wanderers1-1Inter Toronto
- Inter Toronto2-2HFX Wanderers
- HFX Wanderers1-1Inter Toronto
- HFX Wanderers1-1Inter Toronto
- HFX Wanderers4-0Inter Toronto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HFX Wanderers 1479 · Inter Toronto 1489
| HFX Wanderers | Draw | Inter Toronto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HFX Wanderers | Inter Toronto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 5.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HFX Wanderers 1–4–1 Inter Toronto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 4-3 HT 3-1 | HFX Wanderers |
| 23/05/26 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Inter Toronto |
| 11/04/26 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 2-2 HT 1-0 | HFX Wanderers |
| 23/10/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 04/10/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 01/09/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Inter Toronto |
Standings · Canada Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 12 | 49 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 37 | 34 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 28 | 30 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 23 |
| 6 | Inter Toronto | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 23 |
| 7 | Supra du Quebec | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 38 | 22 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HFX Wanderers | Inter Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| Supra du Quebec | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Cavalry FC | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Pacific FC (CA) | 3-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Vancouver FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Atletico Ottawa | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Forge FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HFX Wanderers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 07/09 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 06/07 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Inter Toronto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 16/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HFX Wanderers win (50%). Probabilities: HFX Wanderers 50%, draw 25%, Inter Toronto 25%.
How many goals are expected in HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto?
The model expects 3.23 goals (HFX Wanderers 1.92 · Inter Toronto 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.