Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 08/09, 17:30

Prediction: PEPO vs HIFK 2

Team pages: PEPO · HIFK 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

PEPO2.16

HIFK 21.46

1X2

53% 22% 25%

PEPO Draw HIFK 2

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

PEPO 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWDD

HIFK 2 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDDLLWD

Head-to-head

PEPO 0–1 HIFK 2 (1 last)

PEPO1-4HIFK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PEPO 1553 · HIFK 2 1490

	PEPO	Draw	HIFK 2
Our model	53%	22%	25%
Market	53%	21%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PEPO (rating 1553 vs 1490).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PEPO	HIFK 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	2.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7.7	3.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	6.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.20

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.67▼	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	3.00 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:00 +7’	1.85	4.00	3.00
20:09 +7’	1.67▼	4.20▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PEPO 0–0–1 HIFK 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/18 Finland Cup	PEPO	1-4 HT 0-3	HIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	20	13	3	4	44	29	42
2	PEPO	20	11	6	3	37	24	39
3	Atlantis	20	10	3	7	63	46	33
4	HIFK 2	20	8	7	5	42	35	31
5	PPJ	20	6	9	5	38	33	27
6	HPS	20	7	5	8	41	44	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PEPO	HIFK 2
Atlantis	0-0 D	2-1 W
PPJ	1-1 D	1-2 L
Reipas	2-1 W	1-1 D
MyPa	4-1 W	4-0 W
Puiu	3-2 W	2-2 D
Kiffen	0-2 L	1-1 D
HPS	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: PEPO (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PEPO

LWLWWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
29/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
22/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	5-1	7	3	W
16/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
07/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-1	9	7	W
31/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
24/07	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	3-2	6	5	W
18/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
11/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	11	4	W
04/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	1-5	4	5	L

HIFK 2

WDLDDDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
28/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-5	6	3	L
15/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	3-5	–	–	L
08/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-2	6	9	D
01/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-2	5-5	3	13	D
25/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
16/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
12/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-0	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PEPO vs HIFK 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PEPO win (53%). Probabilities: PEPO 53%, draw 22%, HIFK 2 25%.

How many goals are expected in PEPO vs HIFK 2?

The model expects 3.62 goals (PEPO 2.16 · HIFK 2 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PEPO vs HIFK 2?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.