Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: Kiffen vs HIFK 2

Team pages: Kiffen · HIFK 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

Kiffen2.47

HIFK 21.43

1X2

59% 20% 21%

Kiffen Draw HIFK 2

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kiffen 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWWLW

HIFK 2 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDDLLWDL

Head-to-head

Kiffen 0–4–0 HIFK 2 (4 last)

Kiffen1-1HIFK 2
HIFK 23-3Kiffen
Kiffen0-0HIFK 2
HIFK 20-0Kiffen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kiffen 1572 · HIFK 2 1495

	Kiffen	Draw	HIFK 2
Our model	59%	20%	20%
Market	60%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1572 vs 1495).
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kiffen	HIFK 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	1.8 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.7	2.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	6.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.65 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:44 +18’	1.50	4.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:40 +113’	1.65	4.11	3.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kiffen 0–4–0 HIFK 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Kiffen	1-1 HT 1-0	HIFK 2
18/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	HIFK 2	3-3 HT 1-0	Kiffen
09/09/18 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Kiffen	0-0 HT 0-0	HIFK 2
05/05/18 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HIFK 2	0-0 HT 0-0	Kiffen

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	21	14	3	4	46	30	45
2	PEPO	21	12	6	3	39	25	42
3	Atlantis	21	10	3	8	64	48	33
4	HIFK 2	21	8	7	6	43	37	31
5	PPJ	21	7	9	5	42	34	30
6	HPS	21	7	5	9	42	48	26

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kiffen	HIFK 2
Atlantis	2-1 W	2-1 W
PPJ	1-4 L	1-2 L
HPS	2-1 W	1-1 D
Puiu	3-1 W	2-2 D
PEPO	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kiffen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kiffen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
04/09	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	1-4	6	5	L
30/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
22/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	5-1	9	3	W
15/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-1	5	5	W
07/08	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
01/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
25/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
18/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
10/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-3	2	4	W

HIFK 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-2	7	9	L
03/09	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
28/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-5	6	3	L
15/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	3-5	–	–	L
08/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-2	6	9	D
01/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-2	5-5	3	13	D
25/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
16/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
12/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kiffen vs HIFK 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kiffen win (59%). Probabilities: Kiffen 59%, draw 20%, HIFK 2 21%.

How many goals are expected in Kiffen vs HIFK 2?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Kiffen 2.47 · HIFK 2 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kiffen vs HIFK 2?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.