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Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 08/09, 18:00

Prediction: HPS vs PPJ

Team pages: HPS · PPJ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.17Total
HPS1.98
PPJ2.2
1X2
35% 22% 43%
HPS Draw PPJ
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
HPS 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLDDLLLD
PPJ 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLLDWLDW
Head-to-head
HPS 3–3–0 PPJ (6 last)
  • PPJ2-2HPS
  • HPS2-2PPJ
  • PPJ1-2HPS
  • HPS1-0PPJ
  • PPJ1-1HPS
  • HPS1-0PPJ
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HPS 1460 · PPJ 1489
HPSDrawPPJ
Our model35%21%43%
Market35%23%43%
Estimated total (ours) 4.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours HPS: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HPSPPJ
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 2.91.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.40.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.81.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.54.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · HPS 3–3–0 PPJ

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/08/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
PPJ2-2
HT 1-1
HPS
31/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
HPS2-2
HT 0-1
PPJ
01/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group B
PPJ1-2
HT 0-0
HPS
30/05/25
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HPS1-0
HT 0-0
PPJ
08/10/21
Finland Kolmonen
PPJ1-1
HT 0-1
HPS
11/06/21
Finland Kolmonen
HPS1-0
HT 0-0
PPJ

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kiffen 201334 442942
2 PEPO 201163 372439
3 Atlantis 201037 634633
4 HIFK 2 20875 423531
5 PPJ 20695 383327
6 HPS 20758 414426

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHPSPPJ
HIFK 2 1-1 D 2-1 W
Kiffen 1-2 L 4-1 W
Union Plaani 0-3 L 0-1 L
Atlantis 3-5 L 3-6 L
MyPa 5-2 W 2-1 W
PEPO 0-2 L 1-1 D
Reipas 3-2 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HPS

WLWLDDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/09 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-1 1-1 28 D
30/08 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-1 1-2 54 L
22/08 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-1 1-5 13 L
15/08 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-2 0-3 77 L
07/08 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-1 2-2 85 D
01/08 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 2-3 5-5 613 D
25/07 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-3 3-5 123 L
18/07 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 2-1 5-2 95 W
11/07 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-1 0-2 64 L
04/07 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 2-0 3-2 24 W

PPJ

LLWLLDWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 2-1 4-1 75 W
29/08 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-0 1-1 14 D
22/08 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-2 3-6 24 L
13/08 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 2-0 2-1 38 W
07/08 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-1 2-2 45 D
02/08 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-2 1-2 72 L
24/07 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-0 0-1 65 L
16/07 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-1 2-1 44 W
11/07 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-2 1-4 34 L
02/07 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-1 1-2 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HPS vs PPJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PPJ win (43%). Probabilities: HPS 35%, draw 22%, PPJ 43%.

How many goals are expected in HPS vs PPJ?

The model expects 4.17 goals (HPS 1.98 · PPJ 2.2), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HPS vs PPJ?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.