Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: MyPa vs Union Plaani

Team pages: MyPa · Union Plaani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

MyPa1.94

Union Plaani1.64

1X2

45% 23% 32%

MyPa Draw Union Plaani

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MyPa 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDLLWW

Union Plaani 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLWWW

Head-to-head

MyPa 4–0 Union Plaani (4 last)

MyPa2-0Union Plaani
Union Plaani1-3MyPa
MyPa7-0Union Plaani
MyPa3-1Union Plaani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MyPa 1478 · Union Plaani 1487

	MyPa	Draw	Union Plaani
Our model	44%	24%	32%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MyPa: 4-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MyPa	Union Plaani
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.3	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:06 +7’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MyPa 4–0–0 Union Plaani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	2-0 HT 1-0	Union Plaani
02/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Union Plaani	1-3 HT 0-0	MyPa
09/09/23 Finland Kolmonen	MyPa	7-0 HT 4-0	Union Plaani
27/04/22 Finland Kolmonen	MyPa	3-1 HT 0-1	Union Plaani

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reipas	19	7	2	10	36	40	23
2	MyPa	19	5	3	11	25	40	18
3	Union Plaani	19	5	2	12	23	44	17
4	Puiu	19	4	4	11	28	42	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MyPa	Union Plaani
Reipas	5-1 W	1-0 W
Puiu	2-1 W	4-2 W
PPJ	1-2 L	1-0 W
PEPO	1-4 L	0-2 L
Kiffen	0-0 D	0-1 L
HPS	2-5 L	3-0 W
HIFK 2	0-4 L	0-3 L
Atlantis	1-2 L	3-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Union Plaani (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MyPa

LLWLLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-1	8	3	W
22/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
07/08	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-4	3	7	L
01/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
25/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-4	2	5	L
18/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	2-5	7	5	L
11/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-4	6	7	L
27/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	6	L

Union Plaani

LWLLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	4-2	4	2	W
22/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
15/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-0	10	7	W
07/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
31/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
24/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
18/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-4	3-6	8	3	L
11/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
04/07	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	12	4	W
27/06	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MyPa vs Union Plaani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MyPa win (45%). Probabilities: MyPa 45%, draw 23%, Union Plaani 32%.

How many goals are expected in MyPa vs Union Plaani?

The model expects 3.58 goals (MyPa 1.94 · Union Plaani 1.64), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MyPa vs Union Plaani?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.