Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: PPJ vs Atlantis

Team pages: PPJ · Atlantis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.5Total

PPJ2.3

Atlantis2.19

1X2

41% 22% 37%

PPJ Draw Atlantis

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWLDWW

Atlantis 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWWLDL

Head-to-head

PPJ 0–1–3 Atlantis (4 last)

Atlantis6-3PPJ
PPJ3-3Atlantis
PPJ3-4Atlantis
Atlantis2-0PPJ

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ 1513 · Atlantis 1537

	PPJ	Draw	Atlantis
Our model	42%	21%	38%
Market	41%	22%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atlantis: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ	Atlantis
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2	3.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	2.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:14 +5’	2.20	4.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ 0–1–3 Atlantis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	6-3 HT 2-1	PPJ
11/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PPJ	3-3 HT 3-2	Atlantis
24/09/22 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PPJ	3-4 HT 2-2	Atlantis
02/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	2-0 HT 0-0	PPJ

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	21	14	3	4	46	30	45
2	PEPO	21	12	6	3	39	25	42
3	Atlantis	21	10	3	8	64	48	33
4	HIFK 2	21	8	7	6	43	37	31
5	PPJ	21	7	9	5	42	34	30
6	HPS	21	7	5	9	42	48	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ	Atlantis
HPS	4-1 W	5-3 W
Kiffen	4-1 W	1-2 L
PEPO	1-1 D	0-0 D
Reipas	1-2 L	4-2 W
Union Plaani	0-1 L	6-3 W
HIFK 2	2-1 W	1-2 L
Puiu	1-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ

LWLLDWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-1	4	9	W
04/09	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	4-1	7	5	W
29/08	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
22/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	3-6	2	4	L
13/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-1	3	8	W
07/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
02/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
24/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
11/07	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-4	3	4	L

Atlantis

LWWDWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
03/09	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
28/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	6-3	4	4	W
15/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-3	5-3	–	–	W
07/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	4-2	3	4	W
01/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-2	11	8	D
25/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-3	10	3	W
18/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	6-3	5	3	W
10/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	3-5	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ vs Atlantis?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PPJ win (41%). Probabilities: PPJ 41%, draw 22%, Atlantis 37%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ vs Atlantis?

The model expects 4.5 goals (PPJ 2.3 · Atlantis 2.19), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ vs Atlantis?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.