Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 12/09, 20:00
Prediction: Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido
Team pages: Cobresal · Coquimbo Unido
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Cobresal1.17
Coquimbo Unido1.39
1X2
Cobresal
Draw
Coquimbo Unido
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cobresal
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Coquimbo Unido
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cobresal
0–2–4
Coquimbo Unido
(6 last)
- Coquimbo Unido3-2Cobresal
- Cobresal1-2Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido0-0Cobresal
- Coquimbo Unido1-1Cobresal
- Cobresal0-2Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido2-0Cobresal
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobresal 1432 · Coquimbo Unido 1495
| Cobresal | Draw | Coquimbo Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1432 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobresal | Coquimbo Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 3.6 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobresal 0–2–4 Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Cobresal |
| 10/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 23/03/25 Chile Cup | Coquimbo Unido | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
| 09/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
| 08/02/25 Chile Cup | Cobresal | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 20/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 39 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
| 5 | Palestino | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 33 |
| 6 | Nublense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | La Serena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 29 |
| 11 | Audax Italiano | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 24 |
| 13 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 22 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 39 | 21 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 38 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobresal | Coquimbo Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| La Serena | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Concepcion | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Universidad Catolica | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Audax Italiano | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Universidad de Chile | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Coquimbo Unido (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobresal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Coquimbo Unido win (41%). Probabilities: Cobresal 31%, draw 28%, Coquimbo Unido 41%.
How many goals are expected in Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Cobresal 1.17 · Coquimbo Unido 1.39), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.