Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 12/09, 17:30
Prediction: Nublense vs Everton de Vina
Team pages: Nublense · Everton de Vina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Nublense1.3
Everton de Vina1.19
1X2
Nublense
Draw
Everton de Vina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Nublense
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Everton de Vina
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nublense
3–2–1
Everton de Vina
(6 last)
- Everton de Vina0-0Nublense
- Nublense1-0Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina1-2Nublense
- Nublense1-1Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina3-2Nublense
- Nublense1-0Everton de Vina
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nublense 1524 · Everton de Vina 1524
| Nublense | Draw | Everton de Vina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nublense: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nublense | Everton de Vina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.4 | 4.3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 5.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nublense 3–2–1 Everton de Vina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nublense |
| 03/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 02/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Nublense |
| 18/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 16/03/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Nublense |
| 04/09/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 39 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
| 5 | Palestino | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 33 |
| 6 | Nublense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | La Serena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 29 |
| 11 | Audax Italiano | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 24 |
| 13 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 22 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 39 | 21 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 38 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nublense | Everton de Vina |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Universidad Catolica | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Union La Calera | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Audax Italiano | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Palestino | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Huachipato | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nublense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 03/09 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Everton de Vina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
3-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 08/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nublense vs Everton de Vina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nublense win (38%). Probabilities: Nublense 38%, draw 29%, Everton de Vina 33%.
How many goals are expected in Nublense vs Everton de Vina?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Nublense 1.3 · Everton de Vina 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nublense vs Everton de Vina?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.