Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 15/09, 01:30
Prediction: Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache
Team pages: Union La Calera · Deportes Limache
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Union La Calera1.46
Deportes Limache1.3
1X2
Union La Calera
Draw
Deportes Limache
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Union La Calera
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Deportes Limache
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union La Calera
1–2
Deportes Limache
(3 last)
- Deportes Limache4-0Union La Calera
- Union La Calera0-1Deportes Limache
- Deportes Limache0-1Union La Calera
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union La Calera 1440 · Deportes Limache 1506
| Union La Calera | Draw | Deportes Limache | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Limache (rating 1440 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Deportes Limache: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union La Calera | Deportes Limache | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union La Calera 1–0–2 Deportes Limache
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Union La Calera |
| 30/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Limache |
| 14/06/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union La Calera |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 36 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 32 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | La Serena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 29 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 13 | Huachipato | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 25 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 44 | 24 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union La Calera | Deportes Limache |
|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Nublense | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Colo Colo | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Cobresal | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Everton de Vina | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union La Calera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Deportes Limache
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 22/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union La Calera win (40%). Probabilities: Union La Calera 40%, draw 27%, Deportes Limache 33%.
How many goals are expected in Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Union La Calera 1.46 · Deportes Limache 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.