Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 14/09, 01:00
Prediction: Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins
Team pages: Audax Italiano · O'Higgins
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Audax Italiano1.28
O'Higgins1.26
1X2
Audax Italiano
Draw
O'Higgins
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Audax Italiano
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
O'Higgins
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Audax Italiano
3–3
O'Higgins
(6 last)
- O'Higgins2-1Audax Italiano
- O'Higgins3-2Audax Italiano
- Audax Italiano1-0O'Higgins
- Audax Italiano2-0O'Higgins
- O'Higgins0-5Audax Italiano
- O'Higgins2-1Audax Italiano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audax Italiano 1523 · O'Higgins 1485
| Audax Italiano | Draw | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Audax Italiano | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Audax Italiano 3–0–3 O'Higgins
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Audax Italiano |
| 30/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Audax Italiano |
| 13/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | O'Higgins |
| 01/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 2-0 HT 1-0 | O'Higgins |
| 06/05/24 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Audax Italiano |
| 03/09/23 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Audax Italiano |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 36 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 32 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | La Serena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 29 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 13 | Huachipato | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 25 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 44 | 24 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Audax Italiano | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Concepcion | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Colo Colo | 1-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Union La Calera | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Everton de Vina | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| La Serena | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Palestino | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Audax Italiano (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audax Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Audax Italiano win (36%). Probabilities: Audax Italiano 36%, draw 29%, O'Higgins 35%.
How many goals are expected in Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Audax Italiano 1.28 · O'Higgins 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Audax Italiano vs O'Higgins?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.