Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 13/09, 22:30
Prediction: Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion
Team pages: Colo Colo · Deportes Concepcion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Colo Colo2.03
Deportes Concepcion0.86
1X2
Colo Colo
Draw
Deportes Concepcion
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Colo Colo
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Deportes Concepcion
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colo Colo
5–0
Deportes Concepcion
(5 last)
- Colo Colo3-1Deportes Concepcion
- Deportes Concepcion0-1Colo Colo
- Deportes Concepcion1-3Colo Colo
- Deportes Concepcion1-3Colo Colo
- Colo Colo3-1Deportes Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colo Colo 1645 · Deportes Concepcion 1558
| Colo Colo | Draw | Deportes Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 22% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1645 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colo Colo | Deportes Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 70/0/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 5.9 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo 5–0–0 Deportes Concepcion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Colo Colo | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Concepcion |
| 05/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Concepcion | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 25/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Deportes Concepcion | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 19/07/15 Chile Cup | Deportes Concepcion | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 17/07/15 Chile Cup | Colo Colo | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Deportes Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 36 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 32 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | La Serena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 29 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 13 | Huachipato | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 25 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 44 | 24 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colo Colo | Deportes Concepcion |
|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Audax Italiano | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| O'Higgins | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Deportes Limache | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Cobresal | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Universidad Catolica | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
Deportes Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 02/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo win (64%). Probabilities: Colo Colo 64%, draw 22%, Deportes Concepcion 14%.
How many goals are expected in Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Colo Colo 2.03 · Deportes Concepcion 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.