Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 22/09, 02:15
Prediction: Lanus vs Estudiantes LP
Team pages: Lanus · Estudiantes LP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Lanus1.15
Estudiantes LP0.82
1X2
Lanus
Draw
Estudiantes LP
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lanus
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Estudiantes LP
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lanus
3–1–2
Estudiantes LP
(6 last)
- Estudiantes LP0-1Lanus
- Lanus2-1Estudiantes LP
- Lanus1-2Estudiantes LP
- Estudiantes LP1-1Lanus
- Estudiantes LP0-2Lanus
- Estudiantes LP3-1Lanus
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanus 1500 · Estudiantes LP 1516
| Lanus | Draw | Estudiantes LP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 33% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 32% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lanus: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lanus | Estudiantes LP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus 3–1–2 Estudiantes LP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lanus |
| 25/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Estudiantes LP |
| 17/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Lanus | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Estudiantes LP |
| 27/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Lanus |
| 14/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lanus |
| 11/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Lanus |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Newell's | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes LP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lanus | Estudiantes LP |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Defensa y Justicia | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Boca Juniors | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Independiente | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 12/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Union Santa Fe TEST Fixtures |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Estudiantes LP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 06/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanus vs Estudiantes LP?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lanus win (43%). Probabilities: Lanus 43%, draw 32%, Estudiantes LP 25%.
How many goals are expected in Lanus vs Estudiantes LP?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Lanus 1.15 · Estudiantes LP 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lanus vs Estudiantes LP?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.