Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 21/09, 00:15
Prediction: Belgrano vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Team pages: Belgrano · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Belgrano1.62
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0.46
1X2
Belgrano
Draw
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Belgrano
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belgrano
2–3–0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
(5 last)
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0-1Belgrano
- Belgrano0-0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
- Belgrano1-1Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0-1Belgrano
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1-1Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belgrano 1525 · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1425
| Belgrano | Draw | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 26% | 9% |
| Market | 66% | 25% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (rating 1525 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Belgrano: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belgrano | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano 2–3–0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
| 19/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | Belgrano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto |
| 19/10/21 Argentina Nacional B | Belgrano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto |
| 23/06/21 Argentina Nacional B | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
| 19/10/19 Argentina Nacional B | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Gimnasia LP | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 3 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Independiente Rivadavia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | River Plate | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlético Tucumán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | Huracan | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Tigre | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belgrano | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto |
|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Huracan | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Banfield | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Tigre | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Argentinos Jrs | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 29/07 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belgrano vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano win (65%). Probabilities: Belgrano 65%, draw 25%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 9%.
How many goals are expected in Belgrano vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Belgrano 1.62 · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0.46), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Belgrano vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.