Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 20/09, 22:00
Prediction: Rosario Central vs Argentinos Jrs
Team pages: Rosario Central · Argentinos Jrs
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Rosario Central1.06
Argentinos Jrs0.81
1X2
Rosario Central
Draw
Argentinos Jrs
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Rosario Central
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Argentinos Jrs
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rosario Central
2–1–3
Argentinos Jrs
(6 last)
- Argentinos Jrs0-0Rosario Central
- Argentinos Jrs3-2Rosario Central
- Argentinos Jrs3-0Rosario Central
- Rosario Central3-1Argentinos Jrs
- Rosario Central1-0Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs2-1Rosario Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rosario Central 1510 · Argentinos Jrs 1549
| Rosario Central | Draw | Argentinos Jrs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Argentinos Jrs: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosario Central | Argentinos Jrs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 5.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosario Central 2–1–3 Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rosario Central |
| 11/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Rosario Central |
| 20/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Rosario Central |
| 29/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 27/01/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 09/09/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rosario Central |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Gimnasia LP | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 3 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Independiente Rivadavia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | River Plate | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlético Tucumán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | Huracan | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Tigre | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rosario Central | Argentinos Jrs |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia LP | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Barracas Central | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Racing Club | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Belgrano | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Argentinos Jrs (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 29/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 17/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 29/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/07 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 01/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosario Central vs Argentinos Jrs?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosario Central win (41%). Probabilities: Rosario Central 41%, draw 32%, Argentinos Jrs 27%.
How many goals are expected in Rosario Central vs Argentinos Jrs?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Rosario Central 1.06 · Argentinos Jrs 0.81), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Argentinos Jrs?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.